Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.324. down 0.094 over the period, from 0.418. Range 0.310 to 0.418. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.349	5	5
0.350	83	88
0.351	26	114
0.440	50	164
0.456	20	184
0.457	50	234
0.458	500	734
0.459	2,000	2,734
0.463	5,831	8,565
0.464	4,000	12,565
0.466	200	12,765
0.467	3,000	15,765

Spread0.051Mid0.324

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.298	59	59
0.297	55	114
0.296	1,020	1,134
0.295	34	1,168
0.270	50	1,218
0.268	8	1,225
0.260	144	1,369
0.244	137	1,507
0.219	50	1,557
0.152	5	1,562
0.074	6	1,568
0.073	50	1,618

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.702	59	59
0.703	55	114
0.704	1,020	1,134
0.705	34	1,168
0.730	50	1,218
0.732	8	1,225
0.740	144	1,369
0.756	137	1,507
0.781	50	1,557
0.848	5	1,562
0.926	6	1,568
0.927	50	1,618

Spread0.051Mid0.676

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.651	5	5
0.650	83	88
0.649	26	114
0.560	50	164
0.544	20	184
0.543	50	234
0.542	500	734
0.541	2,000	2,734
0.537	5,831	8,565
0.536	4,000	12,565
0.534	200	12,765
0.533	3,000	15,765

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Adrink3D	Yes	24,468.82
ratehikes	Yes	3,466.77
AMATEUR	Yes	861.02
RobertQ99	Yes	444.99
BornAgain26	Yes	419.4
AishahSofey	Yes	252.2
HerrieDavis	Yes	248.96
0xf21870c123f82e05745b319E02C398D7CF7c8e12-1767758271722	Yes	229.47
Jimmyneutrondu34	Yes	164.32
JustBot	Yes	112.8
tadinchnails	Yes	90.91
0x75d1…90da	Yes	80
Raketa09	Yes	65.99
0xd6fa…adaf	Yes	62
growwise	Yes	55.56
girthgod69420	Yes	55.28
benguezmen	Yes	49.15
V4grant	Yes	44.78
meow-123	Yes	42.2
0x26d6d2220fc0a87aD6F241087DAdD3D99fefe40b-1762618033430	Yes	42

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:25:24	BUY	No	0.657	5	$3.29
17:31:56	SELL	No	0.65	3	$1.82
17:31:54	BUY	No	0.7199999899	4	$2.85
14:44:05	BUY	Yes	0.3494451515	33	$11.53
14:33:21	BUY	No	0.658	45	$29.61
14:33:18	BUY	No	0.657	8	$5.27
21:15:11	BUY	Yes	0.3398367855	49	$16.70
21:07:38	SELL	Yes	0.2607336667	30	$7.82
21:07:15	SELL	Yes	0.2617579855	59	$15.49
21:05:50	SELL	Yes	0.3051935426	111	$33.75
20:28:18	SELL	Yes	0.2868595411	36	$10.25
18:11:53	SELL	Yes	0.2998269231	5	$1.40
18:11:15	SELL	Yes	0.3033344627	41	$12.53
15:50:35	SELL	No	0.61	30	$18.30
15:50:29	SELL	No	0.61	20	$12.20
15:50:23	SELL	No	0.61	30	$18.30
15:50:18	SELL	No	0.61	20	$12.20
15:50:12	SELL	No	0.61	30	$18.30
15:50:06	SELL	No	0.61947	20	$12.39
15:41:24	SELL	No	0.62	20	$12.40
15:41:20	SELL	No	0.6205077263	453	$281.09
22:42:14	BUY	No	0.619	5	$3.09
15:12:09	SELL	No	0.612	5	$3.06
14:42:00	SELL	No	0.613	10	$6.13
04:13:38	BUY	No	0.615	5	$3.08