ratehikes
0xa309f903dbbd559e87d8d368834b8e41355c4cf2
- Realised P&L
- $-66.0k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $180.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.4kat 0.065Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$137.91at 0.550Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$113.94at 0.940Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
- +$0.00at 0.490Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
- +$-2.21at 0.760Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 23:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.015 | $8.27 |
| 07-31 23:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0094441383 | $5.21 |
| 07-31 23:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0201963816 | $11.14 |
| 07-21 03:37 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.0655287159 | $49.58 |
| 07-20 16:53 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.845 | $422.50 |
| 07-20 05:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0650974065 | $66.21 |
| 07-20 05:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.15 |
| 07-20 05:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.15 |
| 07-20 05:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.72 |
| 07-18 18:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.89 |
| 07-17 20:55 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.0503645659 | $49.49 |
| 07-17 20:41 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $420.00 |
| 07-17 20:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $7.80 |
| 07-17 20:22 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $3.90 |
| 07-17 18:11 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $99.07 |