PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ratehikes

0xa309f903dbbd559e87d8d368834b8e41355c4cf2

Realised P&L
$-66.0k
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$180.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 23:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.015$8.27
07-31 23:05Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.0094441383$5.21
07-31 23:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.0201963816$11.14
07-21 03:37Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.0655287159$49.58
07-20 16:53Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.845$422.50
07-20 05:51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0650974065$66.21
07-20 05:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$2.15
07-20 05:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$2.15
07-20 05:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$0.72
07-18 18:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$5.89
07-17 20:55Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.0503645659$49.49
07-17 20:41Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.84$420.00
07-17 20:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.004$7.80
07-17 20:22Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.002$3.90
07-17 18:11Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.05$99.07