Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-09
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.06 to 0.09. 63 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	106	106
0.09	435	541
0.11	10	551
0.13	20	571
0.14	13	584
0.15	34	618
0.17	49	667
0.18	24	691
0.20	159	850
0.21	105	955
0.22	115	1,070
0.23	37	1,107

Spread0.03Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	104	104
0.04	110	214
0.03	707	921
0.02	940	1,861
0.01	775	2,636

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	104	104
0.96	110	214
0.97	707	921
0.98	940	1,861
0.99	775	2,636

Spread0.03Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	106	106
0.91	435	541
0.89	10	551
0.87	20	571
0.86	13	584
0.85	34	618
0.83	49	667
0.82	24	691
0.80	159	850
0.79	105	955
0.78	115	1,070
0.77	37	1,107

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	700
LornaPredicts	Yes	52.91
unoalef	Yes	25
0xa5ef…2966	No	752.91
KiruaTrading	No	25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:35:36	BUY	Yes	0.1	25	$2.50