PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LornaPredicts

0x74957ea27ac4fbdee46d861fdae357859ff67fcf

Realised P&L
$87.3k
Volume
$20.38M
Markets traded
77,326
Open portfolio
$115.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded77,326
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · No0.1441.000$1.2k+$1.0k
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? · Yes0.1600.985$787.60+$659.60
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? · No0.2890.785$718.16+$453.94
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · No0.1530.835$691.17+$564.07
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · No0.2800.855$682.68+$459.12
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.1500.765$558.45+$448.95
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1780.655$550.20+$401.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7400.795$441.23+$30.52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1600.550$440.00+$312.00
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.1220.365$437.40+$291.30
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · No0.2400.735$428.50+$288.58
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1420.360$421.20+$255.06
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.1310.530$375.08+$282.07
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers0.0300.610$328.31+$312.16
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.0300.390$327.25+$301.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:31Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?SELL0.106$2.44
08-02 12:59Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?SELL0.129$8.13
08-02 06:22Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?SELL0.113$11.30
08-02 06:03Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?SELL0.117$2.34
08-02 03:45Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?SELL0.114877$11.49
08-02 03:40Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?SELL0.132$7.13
08-02 00:11Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?SELL0.1$1.10
08-02 00:11Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?SELL0.10372$0.83
08-02 00:06Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?SELL0.112$3.81
08-01 23:53Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?SELL0.101$3.64
08-01 23:38Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?SELL0.101$2.12
08-01 23:32Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?SELL0.109$4.36
08-01 23:22Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?SELL0.109$2.29
08-01 23:05Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?SELL0.109$3.16
08-01 23:00Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?SELL0.117$5.85