LornaPredicts
0x74957ea27ac4fbdee46d861fdae357859ff67fcf
- Realised P&L
- $87.3k
- Volume
- $20.38M
- Markets traded
- 77,326
- Open portfolio
- $115.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded77,326
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.130Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.140Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.031Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.075Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$1.4kat 0.265Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:31 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.106 | $2.44 |
| 08-02 12:59 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.129 | $8.13 |
| 08-02 06:22 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? | SELL | 0.113 | $11.30 |
| 08-02 06:03 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? | SELL | 0.117 | $2.34 |
| 08-02 03:45 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.114877 | $11.49 |
| 08-02 03:40 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.132 | $7.13 |
| 08-02 00:11 | Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 00:11 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.10372 | $0.83 |
| 08-02 00:06 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.112 | $3.81 |
| 08-01 23:53 | Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig? | SELL | 0.101 | $3.64 |
| 08-01 23:38 | Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig? | SELL | 0.101 | $2.12 |
| 08-01 23:32 | Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig? | SELL | 0.109 | $4.36 |
| 08-01 23:22 | Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig? | SELL | 0.109 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 23:05 | Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig? | SELL | 0.109 | $3.16 |
| 08-01 23:00 | Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig? | SELL | 0.117 | $5.85 |