Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-09
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.06. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.04 to 0.07. 63 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	30	30
0.08	437	467
0.13	23	490
0.14	14	504
0.17	75	579
0.18	9	587
0.20	22	609
0.21	270	879
0.22	70	949
0.24	81	1,030
0.26	181	1,211
0.27	81	1,292

Spread0.01Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	35	35
0.04	80	115
0.03	370	485
0.02	1,402	1,887
0.01	815	2,702

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	35	35
0.96	80	115
0.97	370	485
0.98	1,402	1,887
0.99	815	2,702

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	30	30
0.92	437	467
0.87	23	490
0.86	14	504
0.83	75	579
0.82	9	587
0.80	22	609
0.79	270	879
0.78	70	949
0.76	81	1,030
0.74	181	1,211
0.73	81	1,292

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	700
LornaPredicts	Yes	32.91
unoalef	Yes	25
AJSV	Yes	10
0xa5ef…2966	No	752.91
KiruaTrading	No	15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:35:32	BUY	No	0.94	10	$9.40
06:35:21	BUY	Yes	0.076	25	$1.90
18:01:00	BUY	Yes	0.08	20	$1.60