PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

zk1984

0x00497937c03436c8b1c033123d282688c7976034

Realised P&L
$6.5k
Volume
$258.1k
Markets traded
608
Open portfolio
$44.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded608
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8160.845$7.2k+$246.41
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8640.920$5.6k+$344.45
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8210.952$3.0k+$407.20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.974$2.5k+$189.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8970.935$2.0k+$80.48
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8350.976$1.7k+$239.35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9851.000$1.5k+$21.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7890.755$1.1k$51.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9450.955$1.0k+$10.33
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.975$974.50+$114.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.970$969.50+$19.50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9110.965$964.50+$52.90
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9510.955$954.50+$3.50
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8800.935$935.00+$55.00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.9750.925$925.50$49.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 13:19Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$432.40
08-01 12:56Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.9843951774$478.05
08-01 12:50Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.987$400.36
07-30 10:46Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.94$470.00
07-28 11:43Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.88$88.00
07-27 03:46Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$48.00
07-27 03:29Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2251658333$27.02
07-27 03:28Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$92.00
07-27 03:27Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.49$44.10
07-26 14:51Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.51$101.99
07-26 14:48Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$27.99
07-26 14:44Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.32$9.60
07-26 13:04Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.89$8.09
07-26 02:31Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.88$88.00
07-25 22:35Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.88$88.00