PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.24. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.23 to 0.29. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.258,5418,541
0.261308,671
0.272,70711,379
0.2813,20024,579
0.2910024,679
0.3020024,879
0.3110024,979
0.323,23128,210
0.3410028,310
0.3580829,118
0.364,07933,197
0.373,85537,052

Spread0.01Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.243,3113,311
0.233053,616
0.221,0764,692
0.216,20410,896
0.206,02116,917
0.194,36321,280
0.184,45725,737
0.1720,29446,031
0.163,42549,456
0.151,70051,156
0.1439551,551
0.131,30052,851

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.763,3113,311
0.773053,616
0.781,0764,692
0.796,20410,896
0.806,02116,917
0.814,36321,280
0.824,45725,737
0.8320,29446,031
0.843,42549,456
0.851,70051,156
0.8639551,551
0.871,30052,851

Spread0.01Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.758,5418,541
0.741308,671
0.732,70711,379
0.7213,20024,579
0.7110024,679
0.7020024,879
0.6910024,979
0.683,23128,210
0.6610028,310
0.6580829,118
0.644,07933,197
0.633,85537,052

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0Yes150,098.5
noman2026Yes143,610.47
LlamaLoco0000Yes140,212.28
gengis111Yes55,305.87
DeusVult2Yes41,694.82
0xda5b…8cceYes37,051.25
btc333Yes33,198.98
truthtellerYes23,000
usernamenYes22,447.46
0xcA53ed3C3b0951D1cbf7B89F756fceBd72C1F9c5-1767685411607Yes16,345.08
SonOfOmensYes15,338.06
87879809837209837982Yes14,913.09
jorgenjoyYes14,443.84
0xb7cb…83a5Yes12,310.4
BTCG33KYes11,247.66
billybob2026Yes11,110.53
emreusYes11,024.78
RP777Yes10,999.99
eNakeVetsYes10,647.02
neutralwave23Yes10,541.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:23:17SELLNo0.757$5.59
19:08:08BUYNo0.7630$22.80
15:14:35SELLYes0.2410$2.40
14:48:06BUYNo0.75127$95.56
13:51:32BUYNo0.7513$9.44
11:37:50BUYYes0.25999986484$1.00
04:14:47SELLYes0.255$1.25
04:14:36BUYNo0.743,225$2386.60
01:08:26SELLNo0.7320$14.56
01:00:08BUYNo0.73999999620$14.76
22:52:36BUYYes0.27102$27.61
22:10:35SELLNo0.738$5.49
18:45:09BUYYes0.269999965616$4.24
18:37:32SELLNo0.7331$22.75
18:36:11BUYYes0.269999990474$20.00
16:27:57SELLNo0.736$4.31
16:20:44BUYNo0.73999996276$4.37
14:46:08SELLNo0.7424$18.00
14:36:56BUYNo0.7424$18.00
14:25:05SELLNo0.732$1.35
14:25:03SELLNo0.73100$73.00
13:42:09BUYYes0.275$1.35
13:19:29SELLYes0.2625$6.50
13:01:03SELLNo0.7414$10.36
11:19:51BUYNo0.75100$75.00