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0x02865836ffb07aaae121cd358f82b390e89f9648
- Realised P&L
- $-17.9k
- Volume
- $208.4k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$958.62at 0.370Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$798.40at 0.500Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-07-06?
- +$654.75at 0.550Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
- +$485.17at 0.580United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
- +$338.24at 0.034Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 13:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.018 | $18.21 |
| 07-30 14:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.023 | $16.70 |
| 07-30 10:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.035 | $9.55 |
| 07-30 10:11 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0441581636 | $2.0k |
| 07-19 08:46 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2674999995 | $268.00 |
| 07-19 08:46 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3174999987 | $132.00 |
| 07-19 08:45 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2674999997 | $400.00 |
| 07-18 12:53 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $800.00 |
| 07-07 09:11 | Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5399999993 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 09:10 | Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-1.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $590.89 |
| 07-07 05:56 | Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 07-07 04:21 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $521.22 |
| 07-07 04:21 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $278.76 |
| 07-07 04:18 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.42 | $669.90 |
| 07-07 04:17 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $130.88 |