Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-16
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.011. down 0.025 over the period, from 0.037. Range 0.011 to 0.042. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.012	70,022	70,022
0.013	10,400	80,422
0.014	200	80,622
0.015	500	81,122
0.018	4,244	85,365
0.019	11,666	97,031
0.020	37,361	134,392
0.021	16,908	151,301
0.022	2,773	154,074
0.023	2,000	156,074
0.024	200	156,274
0.025	20,200	176,474

Spread0.001Mid0.011

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.011	632,489	632,489
0.010	19,650	652,139
0.009	8,243	660,382
0.008	12,405	672,787
0.007	17,743	690,530
0.006	79,749	770,279
0.005	533,853	1,304,132
0.004	852,467	2,156,599
0.003	1,657,961	3,814,560
0.002	2,303,021	6,117,581
0.001	4,283,689	10,401,270

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.989	632,489	632,489
0.990	19,650	652,139
0.991	8,243	660,382
0.992	12,405	672,787
0.993	17,743	690,530
0.994	79,749	770,279
0.995	533,853	1,304,132
0.996	852,467	2,156,599
0.997	1,657,961	3,814,560
0.998	2,303,021	6,117,581
0.999	4,283,689	10,401,270

Spread0.001Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.988	70,022	70,022
0.987	10,400	80,422
0.986	200	80,622
0.985	500	81,122
0.982	4,244	85,365
0.981	11,666	97,031
0.980	37,361	134,392
0.979	16,908	151,301
0.978	2,773	154,074
0.977	2,000	156,074
0.976	200	156,274
0.975	20,200	176,474

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
shaoqi767	Yes	780,628.77
ColdSoap2	Yes	630,396.27
foodenjoyer	Yes	284,873.34
blahblahblahgo	Yes	90,291.66
TimeTraveler	Yes	50,799.73
sS666	Yes	41,164.1
Anita11	Yes	39,245.69
suntori	Yes	30,896.74
risk-manager	Yes	29,493.91
0xD7010851673eC281d9A79C77192F31051109917D-1785414009080	Yes	25,086.13
lovechi	Yes	23,574.92
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396	Yes	20,286.36
MistHill	Yes	19,999.89
timetowander	Yes	19,124.24
0x78e7a8a4Dfa99aF9A18b9DEF96672feB83Db2C77-1779178529250	Yes	17,834.31
neutralwave23	Yes	17,394.65
0x9793031523F4B7a0Fa7Ec00089b29FAC94B1789c-1769821449308	Yes	15,509.15
kollectiveza	Yes	15,255
frevb	Yes	14,256.88
0x7d3e…346a	Yes	13,965.46

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:14:35	SELL	No	0.988	17	$16.80
22:07:36	SELL	No	0.988	0	$0.08
22:07:35	SELL	Yes	0.011	11,392	$125.31
21:53:48	BUY	Yes	0.012	500	$6.00
21:37:42	SELL	No	0.988	0	$0.07
21:37:39	SELL	Yes	0.011	10,000	$110.00
21:32:41	SELL	Yes	0.011	1,000	$11.00
21:26:14	BUY	Yes	0.0119999994	1,587	$19.04
21:09:03	SELL	No	0.988	0	$0.13
21:09:02	SELL	Yes	0.011	26,099	$287.09
21:05:32	BUY	No	0.989	8	$7.91
21:03:30	BUY	No	0.989	15	$14.83
20:55:39	BUY	No	0.989	6	$5.93
20:20:24	BUY	Yes	0.012	1,000	$12.00
19:17:57	BUY	Yes	0.0119999999	8,333	$100.00
19:09:14	BUY	Yes	0.0119999937	158	$1.90
18:56:45	SELL	Yes	0.011	113	$1.24
18:48:12	BUY	Yes	0.012	113	$1.35
18:47:45	BUY	Yes	0.011999988	83	$1.00
18:42:57	BUY	Yes	0.012	680	$8.16
18:17:54	BUY	Yes	0.012	1,000	$12.00
18:10:30	SELL	No	0.988	21	$20.75
18:06:20	BUY	No	0.989	284	$280.68
18:06:20	BUY	No	0.989	500	$494.50
18:06:20	BUY	No	0.9889999998	50	$49.48