0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051
0x03141505c79f7d82ea4d426105cb228b4ed92f6d
- Realised P&L
- $569.51
- Volume
- $43.9k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $989.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.42at 0.377Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
- +$82.05at 0.147Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
- +$74.11at 0.301Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
- +$41.93at 0.188Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$37.16at 0.511SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 00:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 00:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $23.10 |
| 08-03 00:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $23.10 |
| 08-01 01:08 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $9.52 |
| 08-01 01:07 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $12.92 |
| 07-31 06:59 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.77 |
| 07-31 06:57 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.25 |
| 07-30 18:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.41 |
| 07-30 18:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 07-30 02:32 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.84 |
| 07-30 00:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $8.58 |
| 07-29 21:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.42 |
| 07-29 21:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 07-29 21:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.58 | $5.22 |