US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-07-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.54. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.55. Range 0.07 to 0.63. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.54	617	617
0.55	1,519	2,136
0.56	2,467	4,603
0.57	1,530	6,133
0.58	821	6,954
0.59	2,376	9,331
0.60	939	10,270
0.61	2,353	12,623
0.62	1,344	13,967
0.63	348	14,315
0.64	1,122	15,437
0.65	1,126	16,563

Spread0.02Mid0.53

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	508	508
0.51	3,073	3,581
0.50	8,004	11,585
0.48	14	11,599
0.47	3,336	14,935
0.46	15,659	30,595
0.45	14,928	45,522
0.43	200	45,722
0.40	350	46,072
0.37	200	46,272
0.34	200	46,472
0.32	781	47,253

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	508	508
0.49	3,073	3,581
0.50	8,004	11,585
0.52	14	11,599
0.53	3,336	14,935
0.54	15,659	30,595
0.55	14,928	45,522
0.57	200	45,722
0.60	350	46,072
0.63	200	46,272
0.66	200	46,472
0.68	781	47,253

Spread0.02Mid0.47

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.46	617	617
0.45	1,519	2,136
0.44	2,467	4,603
0.43	1,530	6,133
0.42	821	6,954
0.41	2,376	9,331
0.40	939	10,270
0.39	2,353	12,623
0.38	1,344	13,967
0.37	348	14,315
0.36	1,122	15,437
0.35	1,126	16,563

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
BrightStars	Yes	120,201.92
denizz	Yes	111,739.37
ImJustKen	Yes	75,166.06
Parz1vaI	Yes	45,512.65
Melody626	Yes	41,064.02
GGWPGL	Yes	24,999.81
PuntPP	Yes	20,111.26
scout	Yes	19,999.7
Bertapotamous	Yes	19,776.83
eCash	Yes	16,468.57
troim	Yes	16,093.6
mr.ozi	Yes	15,000.75
Outsid3rTrading	Yes	14,999.9
pup1	Yes	14,875.18
wigglew	Yes	13,411.88
meagainsttheworld	Yes	11,000.11
TruongMyLan	Yes	10,045.36
0x696de7b6e43f45378f60402b9fccff9c7484f89	Yes	9,422.94
pbshine	Yes	9,302.31
miskulinac	Yes	8,341.85

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:40:51	BUY	No	0.47	542	$254.96
22:38:32	BUY	Yes	0.5499999978	45	$24.55
22:37:30	BUY	Yes	0.5499999978	45	$24.55
22:37:30	BUY	Yes	0.55	2	$1.00
22:37:29	BUY	No	0.46	917	$422.01
22:36:11	BUY	Yes	0.5499999775	4	$2.44
22:36:11	BUY	Yes	0.55	2	$1.00
22:36:09	SELL	Yes	0.54	500	$269.99
22:33:44	BUY	No	0.4599999968	43	$20.00
22:33:27	SELL	Yes	0.55	442	$242.96
22:33:11	BUY	No	0.4499999955	111	$50.00
22:32:03	SELL	No	0.44	0	$0.15
22:32:03	BUY	No	0.45	200	$90.00
22:32:03	SELL	No	0.44	1	$0.44
22:32:02	SELL	No	0.44	1	$0.40
22:32:02	SELL	No	0.44	0	$0.13
22:32:02	BUY	No	0.45	100	$45.00
22:29:14	SELL	No	0.44	0	$0.07
22:29:12	SELL	No	0.44	1	$0.22
22:29:12	SELL	Yes	0.55	57	$31.35
22:29:06	SELL	No	0.44	5	$2.35
22:28:56	SELL	No	0.44	1	$0.29
22:28:56	BUY	No	0.449999998	222	$100.00
22:28:56	SELL	No	0.44	2	$0.89
22:28:42	SELL	Yes	0.55	0	$0.11