Degovnerd
0x034a3987364122cf6f560e5a093d7c7dffbdd14b
- Realised P&L
- $-65.20
- Volume
- $46.2k
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $129.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.11at 0.320Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$28.50at 0.153Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.52at 0.778Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$18.57at 0.477Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$13.81at 0.172Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 19:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7769998625 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 22:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 05:43 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 05:43 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.296999973 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 05:36 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 22:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 08:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.409 | $15.32 |
| 07-19 08:07 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.59 | $38.50 |
| 07-10 09:21 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999743 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 20:38 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.86 | $6.14 |
| 07-09 20:38 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.50 |
| 07-09 20:38 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3293504345 | $23.50 |
| 07-09 20:37 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.332 | $5.31 |
| 07-01 20:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1839999286 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 19:54 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |