PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Degovnerd

0x034a3987364122cf6f560e5a093d7c7dffbdd14b

Realised P&L
$-65.20
Volume
$46.2k
Markets traded
336
Open portfolio
$129.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded336
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 19:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7769998625$5.00
07-22 22:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.359999977$5.00
07-22 05:43Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-22 05:43Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.296999973$5.00
07-22 05:36Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
07-19 22:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.29999982$1.00
07-19 08:08Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.409$15.32
07-19 08:07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.59$38.50
07-10 09:21Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1879999743$5.00
07-09 20:38Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.86$6.14
07-09 20:38Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?SELL0.51$1.50
07-09 20:38Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3293504345$23.50
07-09 20:37Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.332$5.31
07-01 20:01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1839999286$2.00
06-25 19:54Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0569999894$5.00
Trader Degovnerd · PolyBot