PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.887. up 0.041 over the period, from 0.847. Range 0.847 to 0.896. 141 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8889292
0.88952,19652,287
0.8901,12053,407
0.89122953,636
0.8925,29958,934
0.8931,01259,947
0.89425060,197
0.8979,30569,501
0.8986,88076,382
0.89937,465113,847
0.9001,382115,229
0.90145115,274

Spread0.001Mid0.887

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8871,0451,045
0.88645,56146,606
0.8852,13248,738
0.8831,67950,417
0.8806050,477
0.8792850,505
0.87850051,005
0.87722051,225
0.8765,07356,298
0.87522,98579,283
0.87421,729101,011
0.870342101,353

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1131,0451,045
0.11445,56146,606
0.1152,13248,738
0.1171,67950,417
0.1206050,477
0.1212850,505
0.12250051,005
0.12322051,225
0.1245,07356,298
0.12522,98579,283
0.12621,729101,011
0.130342101,353

Spread0.001Mid0.113

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1129292
0.11152,19652,287
0.1101,12053,407
0.10922953,636
0.1085,29958,934
0.1071,01259,947
0.10625060,197
0.1039,30569,501
0.1026,88076,382
0.10137,465113,847
0.1001,382115,229
0.09945115,274

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
TheReturnOfDarthMaulYes498,512.12
fed26Yes262,621.26
strategy1.2Yes67,418.42
hippokaYes60,421.8
ImJustKenYes51,033.66
ratehikesYes39,282.54
nadaYes37,334.8
FoldingKeeneYes25,006.97
rooivalkYes24,999.62
dwpokerYes20,492.79
phdcapitalYes19,999.96
akimbogodYes18,797.46
redvinnyYes14,600
BigRabbitYes14,589.88
StanleyHoYes12,865.77
air4Yes12,820.42
Tenebrus7Yes12,749.97
foodenjoyerYes12,511.1
0x4e25…d7a7Yes11,887.24
WongKimArkYes11,244.17

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:27:33BUYYes0.88829$25.51
22:03:17SELLYes0.88716$13.84
21:21:32BUYYes0.88799999916$13.86
21:14:23SELLYes0.88730$26.61
19:52:30SELLYes0.887247$219.25
19:47:39SELLYes0.887234$207.86
19:44:26SELLYes0.88775$66.51
19:20:18BUYYes0.88820$17.76
19:19:36BUYYes0.88830$26.64
18:34:30BUYYes0.887999997528$25.13
18:34:29BUYYes0.88799999917$14.86
18:34:26BUYYes0.8879999999563$500.00
18:34:26BUYYes0.88814$12.22
17:49:36SELLYes0.88750$44.35
17:45:15BUYYes0.88799998753$2.85
17:10:03SELLNo0.11250$5.60
17:09:24BUYNo0.11350$5.65
17:07:09SELLNo0.11255$6.16
17:06:11SELLNo0.11284$9.36
17:05:41SELLNo0.11255100$11.25
17:05:39SELLNo0.113100$11.30
17:05:38SELLNo0.1147,623$869.03
15:31:39BUYYes0.885265$234.53
15:22:26SELLYes0.88351$45.03
15:21:20BUYYes0.88575083331,200$1062.90