air4
0x035c4f4854525937b8339e8929b1fb474054a779
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $11.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.719 | 0.887 | $11.4k | +$2.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.780Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
- +$126.21at 0.840Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$60.96at 0.900Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
- +$53.01at 0.920Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:31 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $662.61 |
| 05-12 03:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May? | BUY | 0.92 | $609.60 |