ilovecarrots
0x03e1b2a5d7dc3685e6f6273842a32328d271e180
- Realised P&L
- $346.77
- Volume
- $392.0k
- Markets traded
- 900
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded900
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.230Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.1kat 0.094Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$683.79at 0.114Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- +$416.36at 0.050Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$312.50at 0.640Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:02 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $5.88 |
| 08-03 05:57 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | SELL | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-03 05:15 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | SELL | 0.42 | $16.80 |
| 08-03 04:53 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $10.72 |
| 08-03 04:23 | Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? | SELL | 0.893 | $18.21 |
| 08-03 04:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-03 04:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.12 |
| 08-03 03:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.78 | $70.18 |
| 08-03 03:52 | Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | SELL | 0.78 | $14.40 |
| 08-03 03:52 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 03:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 08-03 03:50 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 08-03 03:50 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $113.74 |
| 07-31 04:14 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 07-31 04:13 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | SELL | 0.42 | $25.20 |