US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-14
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.68. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.63. Range 0.32 to 0.69. 138 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.67	215	215
0.68	1,381	1,596
0.69	5,954	7,550
0.70	2,335	9,884
0.71	1,878	11,762
0.72	1,700	13,462
0.73	1,059	14,521
0.74	996	15,517
0.75	1,246	16,763
0.76	1,401	18,164
0.77	1,424	19,587
0.78	517	20,105

Spread0.03Mid0.66

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.64	303	303
0.63	425	728
0.62	76	804
0.61	1,132	1,936
0.60	600	2,536
0.59	401	2,937
0.58	585	3,522
0.56	410	3,932
0.55	200	4,132
0.54	827	4,958
0.53	1,104	6,063
0.52	1,057	7,120

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.36	303	303
0.37	425	728
0.38	76	804
0.39	1,132	1,936
0.40	600	2,536
0.41	401	2,937
0.42	585	3,522
0.44	410	3,932
0.45	200	4,132
0.46	827	4,958
0.47	1,104	6,063
0.48	1,057	7,120

Spread0.03Mid0.34

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.33	215	215
0.32	1,381	1,596
0.31	5,954	7,550
0.30	2,335	9,884
0.29	1,878	11,762
0.28	1,700	13,462
0.27	1,059	14,521
0.26	996	15,517
0.25	1,246	16,763
0.24	1,401	18,164
0.23	1,424	19,587
0.22	517	20,105

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
eCash	Yes	13,803.62
Tenebrus7	Yes	9,178.2
Melody626	Yes	8,552.41
Lolakis	Yes	8,395.5
SeniorLaghetto	Yes	7,607.1
ImJustKen	Yes	7,499.99
yuhyuhyuhy352352	Yes	7,115.57
paddaa	Yes	7,059.21
Dragontree	Yes	4,621.57
truthteller	Yes	4,379.34
denizz	Yes	3,156.9
CosmicCedar	Yes	2,999.97
KioskJammer	Yes	2,692.74
blunderbot	Yes	2,683.8
0x696de7b6e43f45378f60402b9fccff9c7484f89	Yes	2,682.9
BloodyMummer	Yes	2,289.36
mrkinetiq	Yes	2,201.61
BlackJellyfish	Yes	1,799.64
bahibahibahi	Yes	1,789.81
GollumGekko	Yes	1,366.89

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:38:42	BUY	No	0.3354270296	85	$28.59
22:25:24	BUY	Yes	0.67	45	$30.02
22:24:53	SELL	No	0.34	10	$3.24
22:24:33	BUY	No	0.3499998091	3	$1.10
22:24:32	BUY	No	0.34	250	$84.87
22:24:24	SELL	No	0.33	70	$23.11
22:16:26	BUY	Yes	0.6699999578	6	$4.13
22:11:27	BUY	No	0.339019	100	$33.90
22:07:32	SELL	Yes	0.68	33	$22.31
22:06:23	SELL	No	0.32	481	$153.90
21:56:41	SELL	No	0.32	24	$7.70
21:55:59	BUY	No	0.32	10	$3.20
21:55:08	BUY	Yes	0.69	21	$14.49
21:50:20	SELL	No	0.31	16	$5.06
21:50:20	SELL	No	0.31	16	$5.00
21:49:47	BUY	Yes	0.69	14	$9.85
21:48:15	BUY	Yes	0.6797829587	2,683	$1823.79
21:48:12	BUY	Yes	0.67	15	$9.86
21:48:02	BUY	No	0.36	10	$3.53
21:48:02	BUY	Yes	0.67	37	$24.70
21:48:00	BUY	Yes	0.6699999906	17	$11.37
21:48:00	BUY	Yes	0.6682224982	3,741	$2500.00
21:47:56	SELL	Yes	0.63	17	$10.80
21:46:12	BUY	Yes	0.66	3	$1.70
21:46:11	BUY	Yes	0.6497213057	427	$277.66