PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

DontTrustMe

0x04039b3e116a67715eb5a13c1486724ed66ca7ee

Realised P&L
$10.3k
Volume
$88.4k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$18.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 01:04Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.6295463031$222.57
07-31 00:59Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?BUY0.2$10.00
07-28 10:47Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.79$22.12
07-28 10:47Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.79$15.80
07-28 10:11Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7920570265$38.89
07-25 16:20Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8773799784$600.53
07-25 16:17Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9759269372$77.21
07-25 15:31Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.88$8.80
07-24 13:54Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9$180.00
07-22 22:50Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8759769895$36.55
07-22 17:26Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.808$28.08
07-21 18:22Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.79$79.00
07-21 17:50Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.8$12.00
07-21 17:50Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.8$48.00
07-21 17:50Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.79$31.85