Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.045. down 0.050 over the period, from 0.095. Range 0.040 to 0.115. 154 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.050	2,055	2,055
0.058	1,800	3,855
0.059	10,000	13,855
0.060	6,195	20,050
0.061	200	20,250
0.070	10,542	30,791
0.080	10,562	41,354
0.090	2,015	43,369
0.100	2,422	45,791
0.110	839	46,630
0.120	1,610	48,240
0.125	1,000	49,240

Spread0.009Mid0.045

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.041	170	170
0.040	65	235
0.032	200	435
0.030	16,808	17,243
0.029	421	17,664
0.027	200	17,864
0.022	400	18,264
0.021	1,870	20,134
0.020	114,096	134,230
0.018	7	134,237
0.017	200	134,437
0.013	16	134,452

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.959	170	170
0.960	65	235
0.968	200	435
0.970	16,808	17,243
0.971	421	17,664
0.973	200	17,864
0.978	400	18,264
0.979	1,870	20,134
0.980	114,096	134,230
0.982	7	134,237
0.983	200	134,437
0.987	16	134,452

Spread0.009Mid0.954

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.950	2,055	2,055
0.942	1,800	3,855
0.941	10,000	13,855
0.940	6,195	20,050
0.939	200	20,250
0.930	10,542	30,791
0.920	10,562	41,354
0.910	2,015	43,369
0.900	2,422	45,791
0.890	839	46,630
0.880	1,610	48,240
0.875	1,000	49,240

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442	Yes	74,671.41
James000	Yes	72,539.86
88blitzcrank	Yes	63,427.44
polymarketbetter	Yes	56,718.2
Iax	Yes	26,661.22
RememberAmalek	Yes	20,286.97
nchgbhy	Yes	13,451.87
jinq	Yes	11,607.05
Logan.	Yes	9,576.02
meagainsttheworld	Yes	6,564.28
JohanDON	Yes	5,821.43
de5nuts	Yes	5,325
5038813185	Yes	4,611.68
Rebecca-95	Yes	4,499.59
aenews2	Yes	4,444.21
0x0DC5A561aF3E3d14BEc8b8fc7ef2C0776252A303-1767933810654	Yes	4,094
pbshine	Yes	4,071.78
D33pCynic	Yes	4,038.33
0xacC971b4A2D67c5efb9e5d3B19e137F65f54c790-1775589695260	Yes	2,799.98
wai.live	Yes	2,000

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:19:53	BUY	Yes	0.049	9,190	$450.31
23:58:11	BUY	Yes	0.049	1,000	$49.00
23:54:47	BUY	Yes	0.048	133	$6.39
22:43:39	SELL	Yes	0.03	66	$1.99
22:43:39	SELL	No	0.96	5	$5.27
22:43:38	SELL	Yes	0.03048	63	$1.91
22:24:29	SELL	No	0.96	118	$113.50
22:24:29	BUY	No	0.96	5	$4.93
21:53:38	SELL	No	0.96	5	$4.93
21:51:33	BUY	No	0.96	7	$6.30
20:52:12	BUY	No	0.96	4	$3.36
20:52:09	BUY	No	0.96	10,299	$9886.68
20:04:08	BUY	No	0.95	6	$5.24
18:35:50	BUY	Yes	0.0599999946	167	$10.00
18:30:54	BUY	Yes	0.06	80	$4.80
17:25:09	BUY	No	0.95	2,315	$2199.04
17:24:15	BUY	No	0.95	2,000	$1900.00
17:15:45	SELL	No	0.94	8	$7.35
15:12:23	SELL	Yes	0.05	100	$5.00
14:36:23	SELL	Yes	0.05	40	$2.00
14:34:59	SELL	Yes	0.05	4,024	$201.22
13:12:24	SELL	No	0.94	200	$188.00
12:19:06	SELL	No	0.94	45	$41.93
12:18:42	BUY	No	0.94	5	$5.07
12:04:05	SELL	No	0.94	5	$5.07