PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Cal800

0x05ede65980909056e407a42ddf0bf3a9b5d4bf70

Realised P&L
$7.6k
Volume
$1.37M
Markets traded
1,231
Open portfolio
$11.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,231
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.7050.725$7.7k+$209.93
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.9090.788$3.2k$495.32
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No0.9640.988$65.12+$1.55
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9200.935$22.15+$0.36
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8400.795$5.58$0.32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9090.925$4.44+$0.08
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9600.973$3.75+$0.05
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8900.905$2.64+$0.04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9360.979$2.15+$0.09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9370.960$1.60+$0.04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8010.804$1.09+$0.00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.915$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.73$1.7k
08-02 19:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.5100153732$1.7k
08-02 07:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.75$217.91
08-02 07:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.847$31.52
08-02 06:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.86$144.35
08-02 06:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.864$315.45
08-02 06:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8645967742$107.21
08-02 06:46US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.43$183.22
08-02 06:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.75$131.23
08-02 06:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.132711$66.36
08-02 06:32US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.1789932$89.50
08-02 06:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.42$504.00
08-02 06:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.43$37.02
08-02 06:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8583283223$71.37
08-02 06:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.848$8.48