Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.041. up 0.006 over the period, from 0.035. Range 0.035 to 0.042. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.041	13,182	13,182
0.042	23,764	36,945
0.043	2,477	39,422
0.044	29,426	68,848
0.045	21,154	90,003
0.046	7,607	97,610
0.047	24,258	121,868
0.048	13,749	135,617
0.049	7,055	142,672
0.050	66,355	209,027
0.051	11,365	220,392
0.052	10,404	230,797

Spread0.001Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.040	3,918	3,918
0.039	20,708	24,626
0.038	7,033	31,659
0.037	9,493	41,152
0.036	5,603	46,754
0.035	106,004	152,759
0.034	11,883	164,642
0.033	29,413	194,055
0.032	8,311	202,366
0.031	63,559	265,925
0.030	83,565	349,490
0.029	2,282	351,772

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.960	3,918	3,918
0.961	20,708	24,626
0.962	7,033	31,659
0.963	9,493	41,152
0.964	5,603	46,754
0.965	106,004	152,759
0.966	11,883	164,642
0.967	29,413	194,055
0.968	8,311	202,366
0.969	63,559	265,925
0.970	83,565	349,490
0.971	2,282	351,772

Spread0.001Mid0.960

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.959	13,182	13,182
0.958	23,764	36,945
0.957	2,477	39,422
0.956	29,426	68,848
0.955	21,154	90,003
0.954	7,607	97,610
0.953	24,258	121,868
0.952	13,749	135,617
0.951	7,055	142,672
0.950	66,355	209,027
0.949	11,365	220,392
0.948	10,404	230,797

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
comon119	Yes	1,222,650.38
0x396f9914e99B2D35b7cC1A5Fb41b05d7062aF2a8-1775607429220	Yes	615,517.62
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	583,330.67
epicsundayfunk	Yes	455,748.34
caspersmc	Yes	292,891.48
lol9009	Yes	178,493.22
muxuebingcheng311	Yes	163,148.17
expectless	Yes	111,913.14
vk7	Yes	82,000
TwoEyes	Yes	69,538.06
Crypto4thewin	Yes	60,120.27
NassimTaleb	Yes	60,000
charliealmanack	Yes	50,000
bowenbai	Yes	44,877.82
binaryOpt	Yes	38,399.93
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	34,999.65
Rufr	Yes	31,613.31
octagonpizzalover	Yes	31,424.86
BTC7777777	Yes	30,000
GuavaGuy	Yes	29,999.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:21:45	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
00:21:33	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
00:14:38	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
00:14:29	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
23:57:41	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
23:57:29	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
23:34:45	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
23:34:38	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
23:29:53	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
23:29:45	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
23:15:45	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
23:15:30	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
23:00:21	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
23:00:03	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
22:34:06	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
22:33:56	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
22:28:08	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
22:27:57	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
22:26:29	BUY	No	0.96	1,943	$1865.30
22:22:45	SELL	No	0.959	120	$115.08
22:15:59	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
22:15:50	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
22:15:38	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
22:15:23	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
22:01:48	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98