PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x066Ffbc222c149F8Ec54FBA2589137cE37662E56-1782221149431

0x066ffbc222c149f8ec54fba2589137ce37662e56

Realised P&L
$-735.88
Volume
$32.1k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$6.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5980.745$1.8k+$350.68
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? · Yes0.1970.195$681.93$6.40
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? · Yes0.4830.555$651.84+$84.87
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? · Yes0.6970.690$479.90$5.02
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.3490.360$393.35+$11.42
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes0.5280.565$376.79+$24.42
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · Yes0.2330.215$321.20$26.35
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3930.675$309.89+$129.43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.5840.565$256.45$8.67
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? · Yes0.4400.455$234.74+$7.82
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · Yes0.3800.385$207.87+$2.70
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2680.415$179.82+$63.83
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.5520.315$157.50$118.50
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? · Yes0.1790.355$156.31+$77.36
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1900.195$149.85+$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:32Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?BUY0.1995454545$21.95
08-02 20:31Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?BUY0.38$144.40
08-02 20:30Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?BUY0.53$18.02
08-02 20:29Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.556$36.14
08-01 06:54Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?BUY0.6$110.40
08-01 06:35Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.732$7.32
08-01 06:35Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8352083333$200.45
07-31 21:50Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?BUY0.29$8.73
07-31 21:49Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?BUY0.43$21.50
07-31 21:49Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?BUY0.42$21.00
07-31 21:49Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?BUY0.2651299134$35.82
07-31 21:45Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.26$38.60
07-31 21:44Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.2495127055$190.78
07-31 21:39Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5$7.66
07-31 21:38Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0145531778$6.55