0x066Ffbc222c149F8Ec54FBA2589137cE37662E56-1782221149431
0x066ffbc222c149f8ec54fba2589137ce37662e56
- Realised P&L
- $-735.88
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$332.23at 0.321Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
- +$153.55at 0.720Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$46.06at 0.832Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
- +$13.51at 0.958Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?
- +$5.84at 0.494Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:32 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | BUY | 0.1995454545 | $21.95 |
| 08-02 20:31 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $144.40 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $18.02 |
| 08-02 20:29 | Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.556 | $36.14 |
| 08-01 06:54 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $110.40 |
| 08-01 06:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.732 | $7.32 |
| 08-01 06:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8352083333 | $200.45 |
| 07-31 21:50 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.73 |
| 07-31 21:49 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 07-31 21:49 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 07-31 21:49 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.2651299134 | $35.82 |
| 07-31 21:45 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $38.60 |
| 07-31 21:44 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.2495127055 | $190.78 |
| 07-31 21:39 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.66 |
| 07-31 21:38 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0145531778 | $6.55 |