PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

S888

0x0711e162e05349de3d87626dea4285d08537f03c

Realised P&L
$14.9k
Volume
$1.83M
Markets traded
7,534
Open portfolio
$7.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,534
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B? · No0.6490.964$236.65+$77.25
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9230.963$162.28+$6.65
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · No0.6910.790$127.29+$15.89
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? · Yes0.5530.635$116.41+$14.93
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8410.911$116.15+$8.93
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? · Yes0.2510.465$116.01+$53.28
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.8480.950$107.93+$11.56
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · No0.5740.770$101.13+$25.77
Will Trump nationalize elections? · No0.6860.865$91.29+$18.86
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? · No0.6450.785$85.34+$15.24
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.3850.655$84.59+$34.91
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.3060.767$84.45+$50.76
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama · Nothing0.8090.920$75.94+$9.13
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · No0.8940.935$66.39+$2.91
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.6170.665$62.84+$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 12:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.201$2.32
08-02 12:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.4$2.16
08-02 12:21Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.674$10.11
08-02 08:33Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.421$16.84
08-02 08:09Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.91$8.95
08-02 08:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.45$2.30
08-01 22:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.039$0.52
08-01 22:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.038$2.85
08-01 22:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.86$7.50
08-01 19:15Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026?BUY0.060477534$1.16
08-01 18:50Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.39$3.58
08-01 18:34Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.33$4.04
08-01 17:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.44$9.57
08-01 17:13Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.4$3.60
08-01 15:50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.34$3.19