Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-28
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.67. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.64. Range 0.63 to 0.75. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.67	591	591
0.68	2,133	2,724
0.69	6,528	9,252
0.70	605	9,857
0.73	31	9,888
0.74	80	9,968
0.76	675	10,643
0.77	76	10,719
0.80	15	10,734
0.89	600	11,334
0.90	1,111	12,445
0.91	1,099	13,544

Spread0.01Mid0.67

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	524	524
0.65	1,908	2,432
0.64	979	3,410
0.63	2,779	6,190
0.62	7,155	13,344
0.61	1,332	14,676
0.60	36	14,712
0.55	387	15,099
0.54	300	15,399
0.42	270	15,670
0.07	800	16,470
0.06	4,683	21,153

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	524	524
0.35	1,908	2,432
0.36	979	3,410
0.37	2,779	6,190
0.38	7,155	13,344
0.39	1,332	14,676
0.40	36	14,712
0.45	387	15,099
0.46	300	15,399
0.58	270	15,670
0.93	800	16,470
0.94	4,683	21,153

Spread0.01Mid0.34

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.33	591	591
0.32	2,133	2,724
0.31	6,528	9,252
0.30	605	9,857
0.27	31	9,888
0.26	80	9,968
0.24	675	10,643
0.23	76	10,719
0.20	15	10,734
0.11	600	11,334
0.10	1,111	12,445
0.09	1,099	13,544

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
odsowner	Yes	7,829.94
porkbun	Yes	6,649.99
soapbubbles	Yes	6,036
santaclaws	Yes	5,167.53
parsifal	Yes	4,444.25
HolyMoses7	Yes	3,356.31
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Yes	2,000
HerrieDavis	Yes	1,914.03
liq2	Yes	778.79
RisottoPasta	Yes	727.73
soqmfaks	Yes	480
rocky42004	Yes	299.1
qcp2	Yes	253.07
just-hanging-around	Yes	185.26
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	174.85
x5w6n	Yes	167.94
neutralwave23	Yes	147.89
0x9657949765F3a28600467Bad514cd8E8ED7ab56a-1757041919093	Yes	115.78
Corlys	Yes	103.91
howesr1970	Yes	99.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:15:09	SELL	No	0.33	100	$33.00
03:13:32	SELL	No	0.33	100	$33.00
22:58:02	BUY	No	0.34	300	$102.00
22:58:00	BUY	No	0.34	500	$170.00
22:05:21	BUY	No	0.3399999262	5	$1.75
22:05:18	BUY	No	0.3399999988	547	$185.85
18:45:23	BUY	No	0.33	50	$16.50
18:44:59	BUY	No	0.33	500	$165.00
18:44:57	BUY	No	0.33	500	$165.00
15:51:06	SELL	No	0.32	63	$20.00
12:50:50	SELL	Yes	0.67	48	$32.23
12:50:47	SELL	No	0.32	50	$16.00
11:01:39	BUY	No	0.32	43	$13.87
08:33:45	SELL	Yes	0.68	24	$16.32
07:45:20	BUY	No	0.31	262	$81.22
07:45:09	BUY	No	0.31	10	$3.10
07:43:03	SELL	Yes	0.68	9	$6.36
07:42:57	SELL	Yes	0.68	0	$0.23
07:42:56	SELL	Yes	0.68	22	$14.99
07:42:56	SELL	Yes	0.68	21	$14.36
07:42:53	SELL	Yes	0.68	478	$325.04
05:53:18	BUY	No	0.32	9	$2.74
02:18:39	BUY	No	0.32	152	$48.54
01:06:05	SELL	Yes	0.68	3	$2.04
17:11:20	SELL	No	0.3	8	$2.43