JohanDON
0x091b648568ab457d0ea4a02fb7aa99faf3496396
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $110.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $688.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.019 | $388.36 | −$488.01 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.051 | $299.80 | −$74.60 |
| Will the announcers say "iShowSpeed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.69 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.74 |
| Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.86 |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.54at 0.620Iran strike on Qatar today?
- +$15.06at 0.439Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?
- +$10.93at 0.310Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
- +$9.49at 0.307Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
- +$5.38at 0.060Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 20:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.0643141103 | $374.40 |
| 07-23 19:56 | MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.3599999911 | $24.16 |
| 07-22 06:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.04 |
| 07-22 06:01 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.28 |
| 07-19 06:18 | Will the announcers say "iShowSpeed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.1338610518 | $95.69 |
| 07-18 20:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.0222735111 | $40.09 |
| 07-16 18:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0403863212 | $68.75 |
| 07-16 14:05 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0380000009 | $1.79 |
| 07-16 10:35 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0379999998 | $190.43 |
| 07-15 13:20 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0379999675 | $1.11 |
| 07-03 09:37 | Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.0159786885 | $16.27 |
| 07-02 22:14 | Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.0337928518 | $19.28 |
| 07-02 22:02 | Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.3575629026 | $48.71 |
| 07-01 09:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0435829479 | $6.29 |
| 07-01 07:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0454162597 | $675.75 |