PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KioskJammer

0x0e64bde21d716711fbe59095eb0c88fae55e336d

Realised P&L
$-91.9k
Volume
$5.37M
Markets traded
1,008
Open portfolio
$33.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,008
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.8701.000$5.4k+$700.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8600.885$4.2k+$118.96
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0340.035$4.0k+$57.51
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4800.585$2.0k+$351.96
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0090.009$1.8k+$93.17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.4700.645$1.7k+$471.52
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0130.019$1.7k+$552.23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.4100.770$1.6k+$738.73
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7200.998$1.4k+$384.34
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · No0.3800.305$1.4k$335.17
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.7681.000$1.2k+$271.28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.3100.460$1.0k+$336.15
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.8000.972$840.37+$148.35
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · No0.8201.000$651.67+$117.03
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.8000.800$636.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.11$140.36
08-01 21:51Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.28$1.0k
08-01 14:56UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.51$1.2k
08-01 14:52Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsBUY0.58$918.14
08-01 14:51Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.38$890.72
08-01 14:48UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.51$1.0k
08-01 14:39Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.47$1.1k
08-01 14:38Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.46$1.1k
07-31 04:09Shane Drohan: Strikeouts O/U 5.5BUY0.45$90.00
07-31 04:07Shane Drohan: Strikeouts O/U 5.5BUY0.45$326.09
07-31 04:00Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Bernard TomicBUY0.3$6.00
07-31 02:02U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.3206517806$194.22
07-31 02:02U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.329$3.29
07-30 23:14San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5BUY0.51$58.75
07-30 23:13Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)BUY0.58$305.08