sazzaa
0x12ed45d2b45259d27a7fb593e564cd269c4fc9b4
- Realised P&L
- $38.8k
- Volume
- $3.98M
- Markets traded
- 557
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded557
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.465 | $985.25 | +$363.94 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.795 | $650.71 | +$111.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.429 | 0.435 | $455.26 | +$5.76 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.217 | $374.75 | −$76.49 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.185 | $238.29 | −$1.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.141 | $167.08 | −$20.77 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.085 | $32.33 | +$6.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.105Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.179Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.226Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.209Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.132Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.218 | $14.17 |
| 08-03 06:24 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.211 | $1.94 |
| 08-03 06:22 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.213 | $9.15 |
| 08-03 06:14 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.199 | $39.80 |
| 08-03 06:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.198 | $1.98 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.179 | $13.73 |
| 08-03 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.182 | $4.75 |
| 08-03 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.183 | $1.47 |
| 08-03 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.183 | $1.04 |
| 08-03 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.5997123351 | $723.83 |
| 08-03 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.2074508167 | $52.20 |
| 08-03 05:55 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $34.79 |
| 08-03 03:03 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.212 | $0.99 |
| 08-03 02:47 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 08-03 02:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.13 |