PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-07
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.155. up 0.015 over the period, from 0.140. Range 0.029 to 0.160. 141 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1581010
0.159311321
0.16040361
0.161160521
0.162200721
0.163100821
0.166100921
0.1671051,026
0.1701811,207
0.1731501,357
0.1745001,857
0.1791752,032

Spread0.006Mid0.155

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.152193193
0.1514198
0.150117315
0.149100415
0.147200615
0.146124738
0.144100838
0.1432001,038
0.1415001,538
0.1402851,823
0.1382002,023
0.1282232,246

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.848193193
0.8494198
0.850117315
0.851100415
0.853200615
0.854124738
0.856100838
0.8572001,038
0.8595001,538
0.8602851,823
0.8622002,023
0.8722232,246

Spread0.006Mid0.845

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8421010
0.841311321
0.84040361
0.839160521
0.838200721
0.837100821
0.834100921
0.8331051,026
0.8301811,207
0.8271501,357
0.8265001,857
0.8211752,032

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alohaaYes30,000
Mac-GyverYes6,970.4
smalltimezzzYes5,836.35
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
LinaBell🦊Yes5,000
Kaiji123Yes4,919
PrexpectYes4,000
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,200
JasonzzYes2,928.29
Bobi-BeebsYes2,731.4
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,600
LuckyMANNNYes2,350
shotsrYes1,600
hetaczYes1,599.99
387411007415611814092217897387Yes1,566.37
PoiuztrewqYes1,400.3
sazzaaYes1,181.6
0x9b257ead1a6240d4ab5c2ae0253Yes1,126.43
hulitest2025Yes1,001
ThreepeeoYes949.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:35:02SELLYes0.1522$0.24
03:35:02BUYYes0.1574813289127$20.00
03:25:56SELLYes0.1513$0.43
03:25:54BUYYes0.156042928796$15.00
03:16:44SELLYes0.15319755200$30.64
03:12:17BUYYes0.1631$5.00
03:05:45SELLYes0.159223$35.38
03:05:24BUYNo0.841100$84.10
03:02:09BUYYes0.1631$5.00
02:51:27BUYNo0.841100$84.10
02:51:12BUYNo0.841100$84.10
02:44:32SELLYes0.15928$4.37
02:11:38SELLYes0.159298$47.43
02:11:32SELLYes0.159298$47.43
02:04:03BUYYes0.166$1.00
01:57:36BUYNo0.84099997766$5.03
01:57:35BUYYes0.166$1.00
01:48:17SELLYes0.15950$7.95
01:39:09SELLNo0.845$4.20
01:08:29BUYYes0.166$1.00
00:42:21BUYYes0.1619$3.00
00:27:50SELLNo0.845$4.20
00:26:08SELLNo0.845$4.42
00:08:29BUYYes0.15915$2.45
00:06:14SELLYes0.1584$0.71