MaxLecter
0x130d236d67a07b565d7d54fa1b79f23647ad3205
- Realised P&L
- $-63.05
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $473.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.670 | $134.00 | −$16.00 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.276 | 0.360 | $125.11 | +$29.23 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.550 | $110.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.840 | $84.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.355 | $17.75 | +$7.75 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.385 | $2.57 | +$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.00at 0.280Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
- +$104.00at 0.307Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
- +$81.00at 0.264Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$60.00at 0.650Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
- +$58.38at 0.309Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 12:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.759 | $75.90 |
| 07-27 00:41 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $106.60 |
| 07-22 03:51 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $11.88 |
| 07-21 14:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.081 | $2.10 |
| 07-20 23:59 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.55 |
| 07-18 02:56 | Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July? | SELL | 0.1071301248 | $5.41 |
| 07-14 05:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.355977604 | $9.22 |
| 07-13 09:18 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.30 |
| 07-12 12:34 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15? | SELL | 0.0030031111 | $0.14 |
| 07-12 08:03 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-10 08:15 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $16.67 |
| 07-10 01:17 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.470612 | $47.06 |
| 07-07 06:21 | Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.50 |
| 07-01 03:21 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.13 |
| 07-01 03:11 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.33 |