Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.55. down 0.08 over the period, from 0.64. Range 0.54 to 0.64. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.56	5	5
0.57	1,122	1,127
0.59	200	1,327
0.62	5,440	6,767
0.65	1,005	7,772
0.70	200	7,972
0.71	200	8,172
0.75	6	8,178
0.77	111	8,289
0.80	108	8,397
0.81	439	8,836
0.86	1,501	10,336

Spread0.02Mid0.55

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.54	853	853
0.53	423	1,276
0.52	408	1,684
0.51	205	1,889
0.32	205	2,094
0.31	30	2,124
0.30	232	2,357
0.29	500	2,857
0.21	1,871	4,728
0.20	887	5,615
0.19	500	6,115
0.16	699	6,815

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.46	853	853
0.47	423	1,276
0.48	408	1,684
0.49	205	1,889
0.68	205	2,094
0.69	30	2,124
0.70	232	2,357
0.71	500	2,857
0.79	1,871	4,728
0.80	887	5,615
0.81	500	6,115
0.84	699	6,815

Spread0.02Mid0.45

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.44	5	5
0.43	1,122	1,127
0.41	200	1,327
0.38	5,440	6,767
0.35	1,005	7,772
0.30	200	7,972
0.29	200	8,172
0.25	6	8,178
0.23	111	8,289
0.20	108	8,397
0.19	439	8,836
0.14	1,501	10,336

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
notssf3	Yes	5,440.16
BTCGOOSE	Yes	4,970.11
cassino	Yes	1,218.64
MaxEnt	Yes	1,005.27
tupac8	Yes	945
canchoo	Yes	837.77
0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736	Yes	741.96
ICTRADING	Yes	602.05
wahtsit	Yes	520
jyPoz	Yes	518.81
hahahahh	Yes	500
PaddyAlpha	Yes	453.09
ourdemocracy2	Yes	406.1
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	300
MrNFT	Yes	236
0xC37aBb02d2D74847B3f39c09F3eE286506844B0D-1768107209261	Yes	214.98
MaxLecter	Yes	200
delphilo	Yes	176.83
LucieC.	Yes	150
Josephxcc	Yes	138.22

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:45:17	BUY	No	0.44	17	$7.30
16:18:21	BUY	Yes	0.57	400	$228.00
10:25:53	BUY	Yes	0.57	76	$43.32
13:05:32	SELL	No	0.44	3	$1.50
12:51:35	SELL	No	0.45	5	$2.25
12:46:56	SELL	No	0.44	5	$2.20
01:50:59	BUY	No	0.4799999952	42	$20.00
18:22:47	SELL	No	0.4	6	$2.21
15:46:46	SELL	Yes	0.6	4	$2.36
15:46:23	SELL	Yes	0.61	196	$119.60
15:46:05	SELL	Yes	0.6200356226	401	$248.90
01:53:30	SELL	Yes	0.63	9	$5.40
00:55:28	BUY	Yes	0.64	9	$5.49
19:59:07	BUY	No	0.37	5	$1.85
03:33:06	SELL	No	0.36	20	$7.20
18:23:58	SELL	No	0.32	196	$62.74
14:40:19	BUY	No	0.35	5	$1.75
07:58:13	BUY	Yes	0.68	105	$71.46
07:55:25	BUY	Yes	0.6698791453	414	$277.14
03:21:45	SELL	No	0.31	15	$4.65
16:41:06	SELL	Yes	0.6609580991	157	$103.48
15:52:01	SELL	Yes	0.6636271309	55	$36.59
15:50:40	SELL	Yes	0.69	205	$141.45
15:50:18	SELL	Yes	0.7	140	$97.90
08:59:28	BUY	No	0.2999999472	9	$2.84