PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

browndust

0x13defc247ffbcce522383400ba9430994fb9fd91

Realised P&L
$-9.6k
Volume
$279.6k
Markets traded
1,865
Open portfolio
$886.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,865
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.7300.665$50.90$4.97
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.7460.606$45.41$10.54
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · No0.7200.485$31.57$15.30
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · No0.8760.617$30.82$12.97
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? · No0.8450.843$25.29$0.06
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? · Yes0.4900.555$24.67+$2.89
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? · Yes0.8700.986$24.65+$2.90
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · No0.4300.370$22.20$3.60
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · Yes0.6900.590$22.13$3.75
Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed? · No0.6100.650$21.94+$1.35
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · No0.4600.420$21.00$2.00
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? · No0.6120.760$20.39+$3.96
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.675$20.35$6.48
Will "The Pitt" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? · No0.8500.899$18.23+$0.99
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30? · Yes0.3700.235$17.00$9.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 06:39Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026?SELL0.91$6.53
08-02 02:22Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.63$9.54
08-01 07:55Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.553$19.60
08-01 00:08Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?SELL0.36$7.60
07-31 23:39Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?SELL0.58$0.23
07-28 13:43Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.54$5.51
07-27 22:13Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?SELL0.622$3.30
07-27 21:02Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?SELL0.41$7.95
07-27 20:08Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?SELL0.61$3.05
07-27 19:21NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?SELL0.3644444444$6.56
07-27 07:01Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?SELL0.61$5.34
07-26 00:37Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?SELL0.544$17.95
07-25 04:38Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.38$5.45
07-24 22:57Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?SELL0.653024$16.33
07-24 07:38Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?SELL0.39$2.24