0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349
0x14117f3428c9fc84b57cf7961b5e9e5f6dce2410
- Realised P&L
- $402.16
- Volume
- $42.8k
- Markets traded
- 305
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded305
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.00at 0.372Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$69.56at 0.422Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
- +$63.00at 0.370Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-20?
- +$51.30at 0.430Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
- +$49.79at 0.890Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:36 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.32 |
| 08-03 04:59 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.64 |
| 08-03 03:10 | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.30 |
| 08-03 03:00 | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 02:50 | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 02:38 | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.20 |
| 08-02 20:55 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-02 19:31 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 18:37 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-02 18:27 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.51 |
| 08-02 17:40 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.02 |
| 08-02 15:13 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.02 |
| 08-02 13:58 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.65 |
| 08-02 13:58 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.65 |
| 08-02 10:58 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |