PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349

0x14117f3428c9fc84b57cf7961b5e9e5f6dce2410

Realised P&L
$402.16
Volume
$42.8k
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.5040.690$206.97+$55.77
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? · No0.9100.900$180.00$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2480.245$173.70$2.18
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? · No0.8350.855$171.00+$4.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4300.425$169.76$1.95
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.7440.790$158.51+$9.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1750.140$145.04$36.84
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.820$142.68+$15.66
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1870.085$141.56$169.62
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · No0.6550.840$140.28+$30.94
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.935$140.25+$2.25
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.7440.690$138.37$10.89
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.920$138.00+$0.00
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.875$115.50$0.66
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.7930.780$107.64$1.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:36Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?BUY0.11$1.32
08-03 04:59Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?BUY0.11$2.64
08-03 03:10Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3$9.30
08-03 03:00Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3$9.90
08-03 02:50Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3$3.60
08-03 02:38Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3$7.20
08-02 20:55Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.38$7.60
08-02 19:31Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.09$9.00
08-02 18:37Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.39$1.95
08-02 18:27Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.39$3.51
08-02 17:40Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.39$7.02
08-02 15:13Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.39$7.02
08-02 13:58Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?BUY0.11$1.65
08-02 13:58Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?BUY0.11$1.65
08-02 10:58Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.39$11.70