DualDelta
0x15433540ca3794108e602bfd353189519af8baaf
- Realised P&L
- $42.2k
- Volume
- $2.12M
- Markets traded
- 312
- Open portfolio
- $19.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded312
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.3kat 0.280Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.4kat 0.531Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$6.2kat 0.220Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
- +$6.0kat 0.304Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
- +$5.9kat 0.323S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 00:20 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.3600010663 | $7.8k |
| 07-30 00:19 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $509.79 |
| 07-30 00:19 | Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42346623 | $371.11 |
| 07-30 00:18 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $29.84 |
| 07-30 00:18 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.77 | $261.45 |
| 07-30 00:17 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.4k |
| 07-27 23:09 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $364.80 |
| 07-27 23:08 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $333.41 |
| 07-27 23:08 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.0k |
| 07-14 23:36 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $1.5k |
| 07-14 23:36 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $508.37 |
| 07-09 23:33 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.1 | $500.00 |
| 07-09 23:31 | Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | BUY | 0.2944459279 | $110.27 |
| 07-09 23:28 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $990.00 |
| 07-09 23:23 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.6768929005 | $662.93 |