PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

valetecaolho

0x162fbc7afa95f21add25597f0ee4febfd9b3978f

Realised P&L
$-16.2k
Volume
$3.89M
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4510.345$3.0k$933.25
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0200.011$1.2k$948.45
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1360.076$909.48$706.01
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0290.003$460.07$4.9k
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.4260.155$283.75$495.83
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.2460.049$92.50$372.47
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$108.67
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$21.58
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$15.25
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$24.88
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance · Paraguay0.1400.000$0.00$70.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$255.00
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$41.78
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$12.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 02:36Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?SELL0.0131036576$4.06
07-11 17:09Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.017$255.00
07-11 17:06Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.063$52.86
07-07 04:34Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.035$18.25
07-07 04:34Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.013$10.40
07-07 04:31Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.033$15.87
07-07 04:30Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.012$19.34
07-05 20:08Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.047$4.70
07-05 20:08Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.043$6.88
07-04 22:26Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceBUY0.14$70.00
07-04 21:47Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0088975888$10.00
07-04 17:33Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0519999952$10.00
07-04 17:32Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0380487769$10.00
07-04 17:32Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0389999963$10.00
07-04 17:31Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0113303993$10.00
Trader valetecaolho · PolyBot