Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-04
Rewards: 100 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.66. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.64. Range 0.63 to 0.67. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	23,692	23,692
0.67	26,262	49,955
0.68	13,660	63,614
0.69	9,009	72,623
0.70	5,570	78,193
0.71	6,313	84,507
0.72	5,019	89,526
0.73	6,896	96,422
0.74	16	96,438
0.75	9,450	105,888
0.76	1,174	107,062
0.77	400	107,462

Spread0.01Mid0.66

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.65	15,475	15,475
0.64	34,127	49,601
0.63	49,274	98,875
0.62	72,274	171,149
0.61	32,864	204,013
0.60	26,086	230,099
0.59	34,317	264,416
0.58	44,619	309,035
0.57	12,650	321,685
0.56	10,490	332,175
0.55	7,697	339,872
0.54	2,772	342,644

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.35	15,475	15,475
0.36	34,127	49,601
0.37	49,274	98,875
0.38	72,274	171,149
0.39	32,864	204,013
0.40	26,086	230,099
0.41	34,317	264,416
0.42	44,619	309,035
0.43	12,650	321,685
0.44	10,490	332,175
0.45	7,697	339,872
0.46	2,772	342,644

Spread0.01Mid0.34

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	23,692	23,692
0.33	26,262	49,955
0.32	13,660	63,614
0.31	9,009	72,623
0.30	5,570	78,193
0.29	6,313	84,507
0.28	5,019	89,526
0.27	6,896	96,422
0.26	16	96,438
0.25	9,450	105,888
0.24	1,174	107,062
0.23	400	107,462

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
unknwnfnd	Yes	696,635.92
ScottyNooo	Yes	247,474.74
0x636cd3e5750597c165796701e30339D856D8a2cF-1729340044075	Yes	112,564.9
hideki.hirata	Yes	108,116.62
abed1	Yes	78,019.46
sassy31535	Yes	70,230.36
BitcoinerRetired	Yes	63,925.17
88865	Yes	41,525.29
vic7	Yes	36,552.17
SAPA9588	Yes	36,335.96
Hedger87	Yes	30,629.93
Pelu22	Yes	27,579.72
LiquidatedDegen	Yes	23,265.55
Outsid3rTrading	Yes	19,999.77
MisTKy	Yes	19,879.49
IrineuVcNaoSabeNemEu	Yes	19,663.74
symplya36	Yes	19,059.11
musa77	Yes	18,570.7
Ryxon21	Yes	18,160.26
ForaPT26	Yes	17,930.07

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:27:51	BUY	No	0.35	74	$25.84
22:24:38	SELL	Yes	0.65	2	$1.46
22:24:33	BUY	Yes	0.6599999622	23	$15.00
21:46:15	SELL	Yes	0.65	3	$1.66
21:46:14	SELL	Yes	0.65	0	$0.01
21:46:12	BUY	Yes	0.66	26	$17.09
21:45:05	SELL	Yes	0.65	99	$64.42
21:45:05	SELL	Yes	0.65	9	$5.90
21:45:03	SELL	Yes	0.65	0	$0.05
21:45:03	SELL	Yes	0.65	0	$0.27
21:45:02	BUY	Yes	0.66	1,000	$660.00
21:43:14	SELL	Yes	0.65	93	$60.37
21:43:14	SELL	Yes	0.65	2	$1.21
21:43:12	SELL	Yes	0.65	0	$0.05
21:43:12	SELL	Yes	0.65	0	$0.27
21:43:12	SELL	Yes	0.65	9	$5.53
21:43:11	BUY	Yes	0.66	1,000	$660.00
21:42:47	BUY	Yes	0.66	1,000	$660.00
21:18:05	SELL	Yes	0.65	100	$65.00
21:14:18	BUY	Yes	0.66	800	$528.00
20:44:36	SELL	Yes	0.65	30	$19.47
19:40:56	BUY	Yes	0.6599999604	8	$5.00
19:37:20	SELL	Yes	0.65	5	$3.25
19:19:24	SELL	Yes	0.65	25	$16.25
18:49:38	BUY	No	0.3499999615	14	$5.00