PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1838ba094e24030D8383c99E3CB36Ee7644E68F0-1771613533259

0x1838ba094e24030d8383c99e3cb36ee7644e68f0

Realised P&L
$403.74
Volume
$135.1k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$69.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0940.107$57.12+$7.12
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.5520.685$12.40+$2.40
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$20.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · No0.4000.000$0.00$40.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.3920.000$0.00$16.00
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$7.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$33.00
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$11.00
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$10.00
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$20.00
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs · FaZe0.1800.000$0.00$16.34
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$10.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$54.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:39Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.08$3.00
08-02 14:28Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSELL0.31$18.79
08-02 12:36Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.3299999922$20.00
08-02 11:58Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.91$87.25
08-01 15:41Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9090557265$840.00
08-01 15:40Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0940964632$50.00
08-01 15:40Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.5523683957$10.00
08-01 13:37US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?SELL0.1824362514$11.23
08-01 12:29Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSELL0.28$52.36
08-01 10:41Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.1799999976$50.00
07-26 16:59Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierBUY0.1799999926$16.00
07-24 17:41US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?SELL0.2956378066$20.49
07-24 17:41Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?SELL0.999$444.56
07-23 18:34Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.4445432692$184.93
07-23 13:53US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?SELL0.52$54.60