0x1838ba094e24030D8383c99E3CB36Ee7644E68F0-1771613533259
0x1838ba094e24030d8383c99e3cb36ee7644e68f0
- Realised P&L
- $403.74
- Volume
- $135.1k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $69.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$392.57at 0.574Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$246.58at 0.445Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
- +$184.67at 0.306Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$179.73at 0.100Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$158.48at 0.050Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:39 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 14:28 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.31 | $18.79 |
| 08-02 12:36 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 11:58 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $87.25 |
| 08-01 15:41 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9090557265 | $840.00 |
| 08-01 15:40 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0940964632 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 15:40 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5523683957 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:37 | US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.1824362514 | $11.23 |
| 08-01 12:29 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.28 | $52.36 |
| 08-01 10:41 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 16:59 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.1799999926 | $16.00 |
| 07-24 17:41 | US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.2956378066 | $20.49 |
| 07-24 17:41 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $444.56 |
| 07-23 18:34 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.4445432692 | $184.93 |
| 07-23 13:53 | US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $54.60 |