Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-07
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.083. down 0.147 over the period, from 0.230. Range 0.007 to 0.235. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.093	151	151
0.094	130	281
0.104	200	481
0.107	262	742
0.129	36	778
0.140	5	783
0.180	5	788
0.220	5	793
0.230	66	859
0.247	7	865
0.290	69	935
0.345	60	995

Spread0.020Mid0.083

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.073	30	30
0.072	100	130
0.071	161	291
0.060	5	296
0.049	318	614
0.048	1,202	1,816
0.038	10	1,826
0.037	192	2,018
0.025	6	2,024
0.024	198	2,222
0.020	287	2,509
0.019	102	2,611

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.927	30	30
0.928	100	130
0.929	161	291
0.940	5	296
0.951	318	614
0.952	1,202	1,816
0.962	10	1,826
0.963	192	2,018
0.975	6	2,024
0.976	198	2,222
0.980	287	2,509
0.981	102	2,611

Spread0.020Mid0.917

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.907	151	151
0.906	130	281
0.896	200	481
0.893	262	742
0.871	36	778
0.860	5	783
0.820	5	788
0.780	5	793
0.770	66	859
0.753	7	865
0.710	69	935
0.655	60	995

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
2117	Yes	4,041.52
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	3,886.48
HerrieDavis	Yes	3,700.39
meagainsttheworld	Yes	1,694.13
windroid	Yes	1,658.96
pitfall	Yes	1,069.53
lamyk	Yes	1,000
R79dgahr	Yes	847.7
whoamiwhoamiwhoami	Yes	790.02
ImportedFlow	Yes	736.84
0xd016…4496	Yes	664.65
0x1838ba094e24030D8383c99E3CB36Ee7644E68F0-1771613533259	Yes	531.37
Friday	Yes	500
George.Smiley	Yes	500
predict000r	Yes	499.99
dabitron	Yes	495.26
narua	Yes	459.18
mka	Yes	396.69
LornaPredicts	Yes	396
0xf49E055B56D2797319CaB6Bc71D5D17E3fd806D9-1768986344586	Yes	376.96

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:28:50	SELL	No	0.908	20	$18.16
04:50:53	BUY	Yes	0.092445328	108	$10.00
03:29:03	SELL	Yes	0.0733995196	50	$3.67
00:53:42	SELL	No	0.9012	50	$45.06
00:53:39	BUY	Yes	0.0681248243	790	$53.82
00:40:48	SELL	Yes	0.0433947928	226	$9.80
00:23:50	BUY	Yes	0.0569999652	26	$1.50
00:23:47	SELL	Yes	0.055	26	$1.44
00:02:20	BUY	Yes	0.0566225167	26	$1.50
00:02:15	BUY	No	0.944741518	639	$603.69
23:15:50	BUY	No	0.9439999956	9	$8.68
19:49:50	SELL	Yes	0.056	50	$2.80
19:49:47	SELL	Yes	0.0569517809	898	$51.12
15:44:24	SELL	Yes	0.0638467401	12	$0.75
15:43:08	SELL	No	0.901	6	$5.27
15:42:38	SELL	No	0.9	100	$90.00
15:42:36	SELL	No	0.9	100	$90.00
15:42:36	SELL	No	0.901	50	$45.00
15:42:35	BUY	Yes	0.0602788335	1,659	$100.00
14:37:09	BUY	Yes	0.0550674499	54	$3.00
14:16:26	SELL	Yes	0.052	17	$0.90
13:41:42	SELL	No	0.945	8	$8.00
12:43:41	BUY	Yes	0.0549999486	18	$1.00
12:42:54	BUY	Yes	0.0549999486	18	$1.00
12:42:20	SELL	No	0.945	23	$21.35