PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

trerira

0x18abbfdb265d3221669cd1fabc0b2d00890bbae4

Realised P&L
$5.7k
Volume
$509.7k
Markets traded
191
Open portfolio
$43.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded191
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9400.946$7.2k+$42.38
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9610.980$5.5k+$104.15
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9470.951$3.2k+$13.53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9270.925$3.1k$7.99
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4080.460$2.9k+$326.32
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.978$2.8k+$108.88
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9680.970$2.6k+$4.44
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2630.278$2.1k+$105.51
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.976$1.9k+$30.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.755$1.5k$50.00
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.974$1.4k+$34.29
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9280.935$1.1k+$8.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9670.976$1.1k+$10.44
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9620.963$964.46+$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.964$964.00+$14.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:46Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$457.88
08-02 17:45Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$859.02
08-02 16:37Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.92$214.15
08-02 16:25Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.946$949.59
08-02 16:25Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.946$1.9k
08-02 16:21Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.97$1.9k
08-01 22:47Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.978$293.40
08-01 22:46Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?BUY0.94$282.68
08-01 22:44Will the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat?BUY0.92$184.59
08-01 22:41Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.75$225.00
08-01 22:40Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.9$180.72
08-01 22:36Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.978$489.00
08-01 22:32Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.84$211.78
08-01 22:31Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.9759888995$879.23
08-01 15:14Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.89$268.17