trerira
0x18abbfdb265d3221669cd1fabc0b2d00890bbae4
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $509.7k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $43.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.500Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$491.04at 0.500Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
- +$399.20at 0.001Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$275.00at 0.275Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
- +$246.65at 0.990Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $457.88 |
| 08-02 17:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $859.02 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $214.15 |
| 08-02 16:25 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $949.59 |
| 08-02 16:25 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $1.9k |
| 08-02 16:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.9k |
| 08-01 22:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $293.40 |
| 08-01 22:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.68 |
| 08-01 22:44 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.59 |
| 08-01 22:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $225.00 |
| 08-01 22:40 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9 | $180.72 |
| 08-01 22:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $489.00 |
| 08-01 22:32 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $211.78 |
| 08-01 22:31 | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.9759888995 | $879.23 |
| 08-01 15:14 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $268.17 |