BernardB
0x1a831935329dba31c9ca27e54d29abd9dc70a9a0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $550.4k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.017 | $1.4k | +$463.63 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $88.73 | −$568.25 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.405 | $57.32 | +$9.20 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.065 | $34.23 | −$32.17 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $25.50 | −$10.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.15at 0.177Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$11.86at 0.762Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$10.17at 0.630US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$8.71at 0.140Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$2.08at 0.068Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 18:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3399999972 | $48.12 |
| 07-29 18:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 13:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7619999819 | $38.14 |
| 07-29 13:52 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $37.78 |
| 07-20 13:42 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0119999923 | $1.55 |
| 07-02 13:33 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999678 | $2.90 |
| 06-29 19:29 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 06-29 19:28 | Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.09 |
| 06-29 19:27 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.22 |
| 06-29 19:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 06-29 19:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.20 |
| 06-29 19:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.31 |
| 06-25 10:46 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.80 |
| 06-25 10:40 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 06-25 10:12 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |