frevb
0x1b3c3721c07e6064fa5c9b6d4c5ab06d97a1e44c
- Realised P&L
- $-181.46
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $176.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.011 | $163.95 | −$362.38 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.012 | $12.92 | −$14.08 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.50at 0.320US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$178.50at 0.220US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 11:49 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0250750954 | $27.00 |
| 07-21 11:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.034965035 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 20:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.037 | $50.35 |
| 06-14 22:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.781 | $248.50 |
| 06-14 22:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $287.50 |
| 05-19 11:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0369999997 | $131.00 |
| 05-19 11:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 11:08 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999977 | $70.00 |
| 05-19 11:08 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999975 | $40.00 |