PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1B8838C33a22D7b787d2FFeBB7cC5A104d3ea191-1776602334499

0x1b8838c33a22d7b787d2ffebb7cc5a104d3ea191

Realised P&L
$-197.40
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$51.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes0.2950.130$21.97$27.87
Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? · No0.8210.860$10.32+$0.47
Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? · No0.8100.660$7.92$1.80
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3200.195$6.09$3.91
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? · Yes0.4400.085$4.84$20.23
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$15.30
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$12.80
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes0.8470.000$0.00$10.00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5? · No0.6700.000$0.00$13.40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00$1.77
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3? · Yes0.4240.000$0.00$39.55
Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale? · No0.3010.000$0.00$13.86
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$18.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9? · No0.4900.000$0.00$9.80
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 3? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$5.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 00:01Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?BUY0.84$9.24
08-02 00:01Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?BUY0.81$9.72
08-01 01:53Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?SELL0.53$25.44
07-27 07:01Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.26$5.98
07-27 02:17Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.06$1.62
07-24 21:17Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.05$2.00
07-19 13:50Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.18$4.50
07-19 13:45Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.18$1.44
07-13 23:29Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?SELL0.35$4.20
07-13 13:08Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?SELL0.33$3.96
07-13 13:07Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?SELL0.33$11.88
07-08 01:20Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?SELL0.18$2.92
07-08 01:18Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?SELL0.66$8.51
07-07 15:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 7?SELL0.53$10.60
07-06 07:19Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 6?SELL0.131538$6.58