0x1B8838C33a22D7b787d2FFeBB7cC5A104d3ea191-1776602334499
0x1b8838c33a22d7b787d2ffebb7cc5a104d3ea191
- Realised P&L
- $-197.40
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $51.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.17at 0.449Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 9?
- +$27.10at 0.745US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$23.00at 0.425S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2?
- +$18.08at 0.426Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?
- +$17.28at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:01 | Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.24 |
| 08-02 00:01 | Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $9.72 |
| 08-01 01:53 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | SELL | 0.53 | $25.44 |
| 07-27 07:01 | Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.98 |
| 07-27 02:17 | Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.62 |
| 07-24 21:17 | Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 13:50 | Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.50 |
| 07-19 13:45 | Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.44 |
| 07-13 23:29 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.20 |
| 07-13 13:08 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.96 |
| 07-13 13:07 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | SELL | 0.33 | $11.88 |
| 07-08 01:20 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.92 |
| 07-08 01:18 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.66 | $8.51 |
| 07-07 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 7? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 07-06 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 6? | SELL | 0.131538 | $6.58 |