Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-09
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.28 over the period, from 0.42. Range 0.11 to 0.42. 64 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	386	386
0.16	83	469
0.18	44	513
0.22	34	548
0.23	16	563
0.25	21	584
0.26	30	614
0.27	10	624
0.29	20	644
0.30	45	689
0.31	20	709
0.32	20	729

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	976	976
0.13	91	1,067
0.12	254	1,321
0.11	127	1,448
0.10	85	1,533
0.09	166	1,699
0.08	464	2,163
0.07	175	2,337
0.06	40	2,377
0.05	40	2,417
0.04	169	2,586
0.03	50	2,636

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	976	976
0.87	91	1,067
0.88	254	1,321
0.89	127	1,448
0.90	85	1,533
0.91	166	1,699
0.92	464	2,163
0.93	175	2,337
0.94	40	2,377
0.95	40	2,417
0.96	169	2,586
0.97	50	2,636

Spread0.01Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	386	386
0.84	83	469
0.82	44	513
0.78	34	548
0.77	16	563
0.75	21	584
0.74	30	614
0.73	10	624
0.71	20	644
0.70	45	689
0.69	20	709
0.68	20	729

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	700
0x1B8838C33a22D7b787d2FFeBB7cC5A104d3ea191-1776602334499	Yes	169
0x85f3…9687	Yes	168.5
unoalef	Yes	100
0xb857…9648	Yes	99.53
FATFINGERALLTHETIME.	Yes	14
0xa5ef…2966	No	752.91
KiruaTrading	No	219.5
0x69b3b4D53b702D75C6827a1d7a33663B5eB214F8-1770892424500	No	169
Dr.PNL	No	38.53
LornaPredicts	No	27.09
ScottsRoad	No	20
KELBI	No	14
EQMresolution	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:01:14	BUY	No	0.86	14	$12.04
06:03:24	SELL	No	0.85	30	$25.50
03:11:29	SELL	No	0.85	2	$1.70
03:11:26	BUY	Yes	0.15	22	$3.30
01:05:15	BUY	Yes	0.16	10	$1.60
22:43:51	BUY	Yes	0.16	31	$4.96
22:23:21	SELL	No	0.84	20	$16.80
22:23:08	BUY	Yes	0.1445255253	37	$5.28
22:03:06	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
21:48:03	SELL	No	0.84	20	$16.80
21:47:32	SELL	No	0.84	20	$16.80
21:47:29	BUY	Yes	0.1410089021	169	$23.76
03:40:20	BUY	Yes	0.16	50	$8.00
03:39:50	BUY	Yes	0.16	50	$8.00
18:01:00	BUY	Yes	0.14	20	$2.80
17:18:30	BUY	No	0.71	86	$61.06
17:10:03	BUY	No	0.7	83	$58.10