PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dajunshishui

0x1c4f9fef7372795bbebf7e3283ce8d221c16e321

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$289.0k
Markets traded
5,317
Open portfolio
$859.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,317
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · Yes0.7400.520$243.36$102.96
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · No0.5520.406$88.42$31.94
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? · Yes0.6300.360$68.76$51.57
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · No0.6300.645$53.61+$1.25
Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes0.8000.735$34.36$3.04
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? · No0.8000.946$23.90+$3.69
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6000.565$22.03$1.37
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? · No0.1900.145$21.51$6.68
Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4400.335$20.66$6.48
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? · No0.6900.625$20.01$2.08
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? · Yes0.7100.680$18.82$0.83
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? · No0.8300.825$18.16$0.11
Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · No0.6200.585$17.88$1.07
Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · No0.6800.605$15.81$1.96
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July? · Yes0.3800.365$15.62$0.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:06Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?SELL0.338$14.68
08-02 09:01Will Jung Hoo Lee be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?SELL0.2043332677$10.37
08-02 09:00Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.27$9.70
08-02 08:59US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.29$11.12
08-02 08:58Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?SELL0.06$11.57
08-02 08:58Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?SELL0.31$11.92
07-31 22:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?SELL0.8$93.69
07-31 20:28Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.46$9.20
07-31 16:35Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.99$2.68
07-31 07:36Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?SELL0.44$10.61
07-30 07:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.73$260.71
07-30 01:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.88$191.41
07-29 16:39Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.251$1.78
07-29 16:33Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be exactly 0.1?SELL0.72$0.60
07-29 13:29Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?SELL0.52$44.79