Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.590. up 0.179 over the period, from 0.411. Range 0.391 to 0.590. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.610	10	10
0.619	20	30
0.620	20	50
0.625	30	80
0.626	32	112
0.627	140	252
0.630	10	262
0.638	45	307
0.639	30	338
0.640	10	348
0.649	50	398
0.650	10	408

Spread0.040Mid0.590

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.570	56	56
0.562	165	221
0.559	44	265
0.545	50	315
0.543	260	575
0.542	566	1,142
0.541	2,500	3,642
0.535	158	3,800
0.531	2,418	6,218
0.530	32	6,250
0.525	30	6,280
0.520	30	6,310

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.430	56	56
0.438	165	221
0.441	44	265
0.455	50	315
0.457	260	575
0.458	566	1,142
0.459	2,500	3,642
0.465	158	3,800
0.469	2,418	6,218
0.470	32	6,250
0.475	30	6,280
0.480	30	6,310

Spread0.040Mid0.410

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.390	10	10
0.381	20	30
0.380	20	50
0.375	30	80
0.374	32	112
0.373	140	252
0.370	10	262
0.362	45	307
0.361	30	338
0.360	10	348
0.351	50	398
0.350	10	408

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
siick	Yes	5,867.17
buoys	Yes	3,366.07
paddaa	Yes	2,495.48
RememberAmalek	Yes	1,311.09
nufonehudis67	Yes	537.65
plsnolose	Yes	461.53
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	410.62
LornaPredicts	Yes	356
GollumGekko	Yes	322
ACara	Yes	218.29
System-Error404	Yes	198.77
cry.eth2	Yes	153.46
0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604	Yes	100
tinman2	Yes	100
0x290A49de0Ad5EBb019d16a61ADd557c1e10451FE-1771630548567	Yes	89.34
Cassiopeian	Yes	63.54
PMPAndrew	Yes	57.47
0x731471Adf0ac3da9c9A1ff0c4618a137F0C10b8F-1767827245434	Yes	53.19
simplystupid188	Yes	52.34
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Yes	37.57

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:20:41	SELL	No	0.4166448906	334	$139.03
23:28:35	SELL	No	0.422	10	$4.22
20:04:44	BUY	No	0.454	16	$7.26
20:04:08	SELL	No	0.43	90	$38.56
17:19:56	SELL	No	0.44	10	$4.40
14:55:18	SELL	No	0.4502042969	104	$46.94
09:53:45	SELL	No	0.45	10	$4.50
08:38:00	SELL	No	0.451	68	$30.67
07:32:23	SELL	No	0.451	50	$22.55
07:32:12	SELL	No	0.451	70	$31.57
07:12:47	SELL	No	0.455	50	$22.75
06:28:27	SELL	No	0.463215	200	$92.64
03:47:50	BUY	No	0.4949997902	2	$1.05
02:11:11	SELL	No	0.47	5	$2.35
22:47:23	SELL	No	0.47	20	$9.40
15:34:05	BUY	Yes	0.5030847446	199	$100.00
13:40:59	BUY	Yes	0.482	16	$7.91
13:40:59	BUY	Yes	0.4899999118	3	$1.50
12:49:09	SELL	No	0.518	117	$60.72
11:35:18	SELL	No	0.5186462369	72	$37.49
04:51:45	BUY	Yes	0.477	10	$4.77
22:14:12	SELL	No	0.53	20	$10.60
22:13:51	BUY	Yes	0.465	20	$9.30
22:04:15	BUY	No	0.54	6	$3.24
20:19:17	SELL	No	0.54	8	$4.17