PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

OverlookHotel

0x1d379e322ef813587a3e13ad79857c45edc7f4a4

Realised P&L
$-103.3k
Volume
$8.32M
Markets traded
304
Open portfolio
$32.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded304
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration92.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1660.065$9.1k$14.2k
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · Yes0.1990.665$7.3k+$5.1k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$5.5k$972.61
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? · Yes0.1880.235$4.7k+$933.51
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027? · Yes0.3531.000$2.8k+$1.8k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · No0.2381.000$1.6k+$1.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · No0.2701.000$500.00+$365.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · Yes0.1550.100$448.52$245.67
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027? · Yes0.7321.000$234.35+$62.87
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4360.120$93.99$247.62
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? · Yes0.1971.000$49.25+$39.57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · Yes0.0980.021$25.78$92.46
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · Yes0.1200.026$19.25$67.89
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.1170.053$14.66$17.86
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.1900.675$11.21+$8.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 20:09Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.18$17.41
04-21 20:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.28$16.80
04-21 20:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.28$4.49
04-21 20:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.27$1.35
04-21 20:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.28$17.26
04-21 20:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.27$4.86
04-21 20:07Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?BUY0.32$6.40
04-21 20:07Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?BUY0.31$425.01
04-21 20:07Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?BUY0.3$102.95
04-21 20:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.17$74.73
04-21 20:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.16$2.72
04-21 20:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.16$9.60
04-21 20:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.16$44.00
04-21 20:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.15$13.28
04-21 20:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.279047619$58.60