Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.67. up 0.36 over the period, from 0.31. Range 0.29 to 0.73. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	28	28
0.80	20	48
0.88	5	53
0.89	25	78
0.91	40	118
0.95	115	233
0.97	336	569
0.98	1,929	2,498
0.99	3,488	5,986

Spread0.23Mid0.67

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.55	53	53
0.54	20	73
0.52	45	118
0.51	70	187
0.50	532	719
0.48	70	789
0.47	14	803
0.44	5	808
0.43	60	867
0.42	62	929
0.41	61	991
0.40	17	1,008

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.45	53	53
0.46	20	73
0.48	45	118
0.49	70	187
0.50	532	719
0.52	70	789
0.53	14	803
0.56	5	808
0.57	60	867
0.58	62	929
0.59	61	991
0.60	17	1,008

Spread0.23Mid0.34

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	28	28
0.20	20	48
0.12	5	53
0.11	25	78
0.09	40	118
0.05	115	233
0.03	336	569
0.02	1,929	2,498
0.01	3,488	5,986

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
OverlookHotel	Yes	10,968.3
unco	Yes	1,926.44
ng6000	Yes	593.3
0x210Cc1eae5D8708Cf2616450e279a4B1E2357625-1783446360937	Yes	288.84
0x82b80370f436c6b34a461f11FA20aD06D5F51B3B-1781868450232	Yes	247.91
qwvrfyuiop-lkjh	Yes	239.52
Maximus374	Yes	185.99
0xcDD43D196e75F5C6BB63924d618fd20487dc4Cf8-1781459992957	Yes	176.72
exothetajunkie	Yes	175.55
roypaj	Yes	174.12
0xeE8aef5aDC04FFb8Cb3417233389473246BDf0b0-1773254929104	Yes	171
LornaPredicts	Yes	151
MPai	Yes	131.84
chefradish	Yes	130.65
Sixsevensix	Yes	128.18
0xD59F260204d6dA4f82Cde97e225805F5e351ba3C-1767448040015	Yes	103.74
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	89.78
0x6706…2341	Yes	81.86
0xd787…7c12	Yes	77.79
shovelingdigging	Yes	77.24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:56:26	SELL	Yes	0.51	6	$3.25
17:41:24	BUY	Yes	0.6997928281	796	$557.34
14:07:24	SELL	Yes	0.55	2	$1.06
21:40:47	BUY	Yes	0.7199999539	14	$10.00
20:03:29	SELL	Yes	0.6655463117	54	$36.00
13:34:41	BUY	Yes	0.7454826791	240	$178.56
05:30:59	SELL	Yes	0.58	7	$4.29
01:07:59	SELL	Yes	0.57	3	$1.83
21:31:44	BUY	No	0.32	7	$2.14
21:31:38	BUY	Yes	0.7268958821	110	$80.00
21:22:57	BUY	Yes	0.6799999942	21	$14.00
18:52:59	BUY	Yes	0.6799998912	1	$1.00
17:32:14	BUY	Yes	0.6719367564	37	$25.00
11:22:30	BUY	Yes	0.5179958571	77	$40.01
04:58:35	BUY	No	0.56	21	$11.98
15:24:53	SELL	Yes	0.44	2	$0.97
02:06:45	SELL	No	0.5379074598	173	$93.24
18:42:39	SELL	Yes	0.37	1	$0.30
15:53:12	SELL	No	0.639332265	187	$119.68
15:39:09	SELL	Yes	0.3	3	$0.90
10:03:11	BUY	Yes	0.3557013284	68	$24.18
05:26:42	BUY	No	0.75	1	$1.00
14:00:05	BUY	No	0.7492039708	53	$40.00
17:02:09	BUY	Yes	0.36	3	$1.08
22:05:36	BUY	No	0.66	12	$7.89