newnewuser
0x1dd197fa8bb4d6887ffecf89b75171aea7d7a156
- Realised P&L
- $36.0k
- Volume
- $19.41M
- Markets traded
- 418
- Open portfolio
- $20.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded418
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.0kat 0.023US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
- +$11.2kat 0.124US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$10.9kat 0.034US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$10.4kat 0.031Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$10.0kat 0.581US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 03:29 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.918 | $2.4k |
| 06-18 03:28 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.082 | $76.89 |
| 06-17 06:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.3k |
| 06-17 06:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $411.05 |
| 06-17 06:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.8k |
| 06-17 06:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.2k |
| 06-16 14:17 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 06-07 20:53 | Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.0k |
| 06-07 20:52 | Iran closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 06-07 20:52 | Iran closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.91 | $273.00 |
| 06-07 20:50 | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL | 0.1557485217 | $312.11 |
| 05-27 20:32 | Trump out as President by May 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 05-27 20:17 | Trump out as President by May 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 05-27 20:02 | Trump out as President by May 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 05-25 21:46 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |