0x1E49F80D58872139c5da28320d0A3179F5480424-1782139319766
0x1e49f80d58872139c5da28320d0a3179f5480424
- Realised P&L
- $136.33
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $386.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.414China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$274.62at 0.762Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
- +$233.22at 0.500Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
- +$83.41at 0.770Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
- +$68.48at 0.794Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 03:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.67 | $38.19 |
| 08-01 00:35 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $22.05 |
| 07-31 15:17 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 10:14 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.773 | $38.65 |
| 07-30 10:00 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.742 | $74.20 |
| 07-29 00:14 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.25 |
| 07-28 13:33 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.24 |
| 07-28 13:27 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.0198538755 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 13:27 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 13:27 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.0168279344 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 13:27 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.0141265413 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 13:12 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.0991809524 | $2.08 |
| 07-26 13:56 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.67 |
| 07-26 13:56 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.106 | $33.89 |
| 07-26 13:56 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.105 | $15.75 |