PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1E49F80D58872139c5da28320d0A3179F5480424-1782139319766

0x1e49f80d58872139c5da28320d0a3179f5480424

Realised P&L
$136.33
Volume
$14.9k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$386.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.5400.565$234.72+$10.46
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.7520.606$90.83$22.02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6700.685$39.05+$0.85
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3510.115$17.05$35.01
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.5400.385$3.85$1.55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8700.885$1.02+$0.02
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? · No0.5860.000$0.00$168.77
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$8.58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? · No0.3200.000$0.00$3.20
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5? · No0.6200.000$0.00$4.96
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? · No0.5760.000$0.00$38.48
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner · Just Players0.7600.000$0.00$30.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00$55.65
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? · Yes0.8010.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$57.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.67$38.19
08-01 00:35Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.25$22.05
07-31 15:17Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5$30.00
07-30 10:14Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.773$38.65
07-30 10:00Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.742$74.20
07-29 00:14Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.006$1.25
07-28 13:33Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.019$1.24
07-28 13:27Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.0198538755$1.00
07-28 13:27Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
07-28 13:27Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.0168279344$1.00
07-28 13:27Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.0141265413$1.00
07-27 13:12Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.0991809524$2.08
07-26 13:56Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.1$1.67
07-26 13:56Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.106$33.89
07-26 13:56Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.105$15.75