PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Taurusss

0x1e5a4e6f132f15580a0fb0bc6c0cc3c243f9935f

Realised P&L
$-41.6k
Volume
$1.91M
Markets traded
409
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded409
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0770.054$1.2k$474.44
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.1300.155$465.00+$75.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1400.055$363.00$561.00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1060.041$182.49$295.13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0570.019$102.98$204.40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9500.717$71.65$23.35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 7? · No0.0330.011$50.14$107.44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6520.196$48.00$111.64
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5? · No0.0310.013$41.12$60.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? · Yes0.0820.055$33.00$16.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · No0.8900.325$32.50$56.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.3120.033$16.50$139.39
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Something0.0300.033$12.54+$1.12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? · No0.0220.008$12.00$21.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0510.004$11.76$120.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 04:02Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.95$95.00
08-01 16:52Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.89$89.00
08-01 13:58Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.13$9.10
08-01 02:31Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.557601$55.76
07-31 22:35Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.059475756$36.50
07-31 22:33Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.3$91.03
07-31 22:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 7?BUY0.033$157.58
07-31 21:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?BUY0.0086787687$34.97
07-31 05:57Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoBUY0.034$3.81
07-31 00:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.023$1.15
07-31 00:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.02$1.00
07-31 00:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?BUY0.0069764433$11.30
07-31 00:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?BUY0.01$15.80
07-30 02:43Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?BUY0.007$0.64
07-30 02:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?BUY0.09$9.00