0x1fb258561292916Ad997f52D8c00fb75e7a4061e-1768651380890
0x1fb258561292916ad997f52d8c00fb75e7a4061e
- Realised P&L
- $8.42
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $46.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.65at 0.062U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
- +$13.29at 0.070Will Audias Flores-Silva be arrested in 2026?
- +$6.09at 0.141Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$3.55at 0.220Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$2.85at 0.260Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 23:20 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of July? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:19 | Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $65B? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:16 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:16 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:15 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679998871 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2079998486 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 14:54 | Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 14:53 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8109999497 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 14:53 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 14:53 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139999861 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 14:52 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609998681 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 14:51 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 14:48 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |