rebotsliaf
0x206191d01c411a5b346d11a2df2d463a356b8ec9
- Realised P&L
- $137.5k
- Volume
- $21.53M
- Markets traded
- 562
- Open portfolio
- $160.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded562
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.6kat 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$61.5kat 0.393US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$58.7kat 0.098Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
- +$25.5kat 0.218US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$25.1kat 0.516Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 04:14 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.44 | $10.0k |
| 08-01 04:12 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.44 | $20.0k |
| 07-31 05:35 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6935 | $9.58 |
| 07-31 05:26 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0390191838 | $19.00 |
| 07-31 05:25 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0790728982 | $39.35 |
| 07-31 05:22 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.082 | $13.94 |
| 07-31 05:22 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.081 | $14.31 |
| 07-31 05:22 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $13.60 |
| 07-31 05:22 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0786655785 | $17.59 |
| 07-31 05:22 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0763862921 | $51.20 |
| 07-31 05:21 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0703190078 | $12.19 |
| 07-31 01:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $5.1k |
| 07-31 01:01 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.899 | $8.98 |
| 07-31 00:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.357 | $35.34 |
| 07-31 00:52 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.356 | $44.76 |